Dependency: A
          Formal Theory of Underdevelopment or a Methodology for the Analysis of Concrete Situations
          of Underdevelopment? 
          Gabriel Palma* 
          Institute of Latin American Studies. University of
          London 
          Para Magdalena 
          World Development, Vol. 6, pp. 881-924, Pergamon
          Press Ltd., 1978 | 
         
       
      
        
                       1. INTRODUCTION 
           
             May one talk of a 'theory of dependency'? If so, what general
          implications does it have for contemporary development strategy? Do we find under the
          'dependency' label theories of such a diverse nature that it would be more appropriate to
          speak of a 'school of dependency'? Is it even correct to describe as theories the
          different approaches within that school? And if so, what general implications might each
          one have for contemporary development strategy? 
             Some writers within the dependency school argue that it is misleading to
          look at dependency as a formal theory , and that no general implications for
          development can be abstracted from its analyses. Some of those who argue that there is
          such a theory flatly assert that it leads inescapably to the conclusion that development
          is impossible within the world capitalist system, thus making development strategies
          irrelevant, 
          at least within that system. Others, on the other hand, who speak in terms of a theory of
          dependency, argue that it can be operationalized into a practical development
          strategy for dependent countries. 
            If the problem of extracting direct lessons from the dependency analyses is a
          dilficult one, it is no less difficult to survey what has been a diffuse and at times
          contradictory movement, inextricably a part of the recent history of Latin America itself,
          of individual nations, and 
          of the post-war development of international capitalism, and drawing its inspiration from
          such diverse intellectual traditions as the long 
          and involved Marxist debate concerning the development of capitalism in backward nations, 
                                                     881
           | 
           and the post-1948 ECLA
          critique of the conventional theory of international trade and economic development. 
              The complex roots of the dependency analyses and the variety of
          intellectual traditions on which they draw make any attempt at a comprehensive survey
          difficult. The difficulty is further compounded by the fact that in one way or another the
          dependency perspective has so dominated work in the social sciences in Latin America and
          elsewhere in recent years that it would be literally impossible to review the overwhelming
          mass of writing that has appeared, aimed at either supporting or refuting-------------------------- 
          *The initial stimulus for this paper came from a workshop on dependency organized in the
          Latin American Centre, St. Antony's College, Oxford, by my colleagues Rosemary Thorp and
          Sanjaya Lall, of the Institute of Economics and Statistics, and myself. I am extremely
          indebted to them both, and to the participants in that workshop, and particularly to Paul
          Cammack, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, Ernesto Laclau and Philippe Reichstul for discussing
          an earlier draft of the paper with me. I would also like to thank Alan Angell, Mariana
          Chudnovsky, Rafael Echeverria, Maria Alicia Ferrera, Luis Ortega, Cristobal Palma, Hilda
          Sabato, Elizabeth Spillius, Bob Sutcliffe and Margaret Weinmann for their help and
          support, and the World University Service and the Institute of Latin American Studies of
          London University for making it possible for me to devote myself fully to this research. 
           F'inally, I would like to express gratitude greater than words can adequately convey
          to Paul Cammack, for transforming the original manuscript into polished English. for
          clarifying my own ideas on a number of points in so doing, and for editing the essay down
          to manageable proportions. despite my frequent protests. The responsibility for what is
          left is of course my own.    | 
         
       
      
        
          its major theses,or simply reflecting its
          sudden ascendancy in academic and institutional circles hitherto relatively closed to
          radical critiques of current orthodoxy. Added to this is the fact that in one way or
          another those who have contributed to the dependency school have been directly and
          actively involved in the major political struggles and controversies of post-war Latin
          America. Not only has this left an indelible mark on their own work, but it has often led
          their oppon~nts to cloud the issues by carrying the debate to purely ideological ter-
          rain, thus adding to the confusion surrounding the dependency analysis itself by promoting
          an increasingly sterile discussion with little thorough consideration of its theoretical
          and historical roots. 
             I believe that previous surveys of dependency writings have in
          particular failed to clarify sufficiently its roots in the tradition of Marxist thought on
          the development of capitalism in backward nations, thus giving rise to a great deal of
          misunderstanding. I have therefore attempted particularly to place it within this
          tradition; Marxism is a highly complex subject, and its contribution to the analysis of
          the development of capitalism in backward nations is no less so; an attempt to incorporate
          it into the analysis here is however essential, in order to 
             (1) clarify the conceptual
          issues around which the debate revolves, 
             (2) show how many of the debates among dependency writers echo similar
          debates which took place earlier within the Marxist tradition, although in some cases
          their relevance has not been duly appreciated, and 
             (3) show the problems involved in seeking 'implications for contemporary
          development strategy' from the dependency writers. 
             I complement this analysis with a discussion of the other major source
          of inspiration behind dependency, the ECLA {United Nations Eco- nomic Commission for Latin
          America) school and the attempts to reformulate its thinking which followed the apparent
          failure of ECLA- inspired policies of import-substituting industrialization. 
             I distinguish three approaches within the dependency school, and
          conclude that the most successful analyses are those which resist the temptation to build
          a formal theory, and focus on 'concrete situations of dependency'; in general terms I have
          elected to stress that the cuntribution of dependency has been up to now more a critique
          of development strategies in general than an attempt to make practical contributions to
          them. 
           
           
                                                          
          882  | 
          2.
          SALIENT FEATURES OF THE MARXIST DEBATE ON CAPITALIST DEVELOPMENT 
                   IN BACKWARD NATIONS 
           
            The Marxist debate on capitalist development in backward nations is located in
          the broader theoretical context of the debate on imperialism. At a first level of
          approximation, close to its etymological meaning, imperialism denotes a particular
          relationship, 'a relationship of a hegemonical state to people or nations under its
          control' ( Lichtheim, 1971, p. 10). At this level the essence of imperialism is domination
          and subordination, and the concrete ways in which the sovereignty of lesser political
          bodies can be infringed may be manifested in very dissimilar manners, as direct and
          visible as in colonialism, or as complex and diffuse as in a system of international
          relations of dependency which distorts the economic development of nations. 
             From this point of view imperialism neither is nor has to be a
          phenomenon exclusive to capitalism, for close and asymmetric relationships are not
          peculiar to capitalism; what is peculiar to it is the form in which this type of
          relationship is developed and made manifest. Even more, the concrete ways in which the
          backward countries have furnished the needs of the advanced countries within the system
          also vary, in accordance with the changing necessities of the latter in their different
          stages of development. For this reason it is not very useful to remain at this first
          level; we must progress further, and analyse the way in which these relations of
          domination and subjection are situated in the context in which they develop; if not, we
          shall find ourselves making only 
          general disquisitions on imperialism, which
          ignore,  or put into the background, the fundamental difference between
          socio-economic systems, and which inevitably degenerate into the most vapid banality or
          bragging, like the comparison: 'Greater Rome or Greater Britain' (Lenin, 1916, p. 97). 
           
             a. The Marxist concept
          of imperialism(1) 
           
             The essential characteristic which distin- guishes the way in which
          Marxism places this relationship of domination and subjection within the context in which
          it develops (as it does in all other social activities and historical develop- ments) is
          its basis in the material conditions of production; while non-Marxist interpretations may
          be based equally, and at times jointly, on ideological, political, economic, social or
          cultural factors. Nevertheless, the Marxist analysis  | 
         
       
      
        
          and interpretation of imperialism does not
          deny in any way the superstructural elements that may have been prcscnt in the different
          stagcs of imperialism,(2) for the elements of the superstructure may and do assume an autonomy of their
          own, which in turn reacts upon the material base; to deny the importance of the
          superstructural elements is to fail to understand the important feedback of human
          consciousness into the material world. What is peculiar to Marxist interpretations of
          imperialism is the reference in the final analysis of these and other superstructural
          elements to the material base in which they develop.(3) 
             Nevertheless, it is not sufficient to postulate that the elements of the
          superstructure can be related in the final analysis to the material base in which they
          develop; we also need to know the concrete forms in which the two are connected. This has
          been one of the most controversial themes within Marxism, and Marx himself did not make
          the task any easier, saying sometimes that the one 'determines'  the other, sometimes
          that it 'conditions'  it, and sometimes that it 'corresponds' to it. There is at
          least agreement among Marxists that changes in the base are necessary but not sufficient
          for changes in the superstructure. That is to say, changes in the superstructure are
          related to changes in the material base of society. but do not occur as a simple
          mechanical reflex.(4) 
             If Marx uses different terms to refer to this relationship, there are
          nevertheless passages in his works which offer the necessary elements for a clear
          understanding of his position. In the preface to the second edition of The Eighteenth
          Brumaire of Luis Bonaparte for example, written in 1869, he explains that conditioning
          historical circumstances (that is, those external to the will of individuals) determine
          only the possibilities in historical situations, not the details of their future
          development. In the analyses which he made of the Russian situation in the last years of
          his life (and to which I shall return later) he is very explicit in this respect. Lenin
          for his part constantly debated with the Mensheviks their deterministic view of history: 
             The Mensheviks think that
          history is the product of material forces acting through thc processes of evolution. I
          think, with Marx, that man makes history, but within the conditions, and with the
          materials, given by the corresponding period of civilization. And man can be a tremendous
          social force (quoted in Horowitz, 1969. p. 10). 
             The importance of the material conditions of the process of production,
          which leads Marx to make of this aspect of human activity the
                                     
          883 | 
          corner-stone of social
          activity and historical development (and hence of imperialism) relates back to the fact
          that for him labour is the fundamental human activity. Through it man not only satisfies
          the primordial need to subsist, but also develops his potential; this activity, which
          consists of an interaction with nature and with one's fellow men, contributes an essential
          element to Marx's understanding of man and his history, and it is this which leads Engels
          to call this approach 'Historical Materialism'. 
            The essence of Marx's analysis of the process of labour is to be found in Capital
          (1867, pp. 130-138); once he had demonstrated the impossibility of explaining the
          process of extraction of surplus value at the level of the circulation of capital, he
          decided to take the analysis to a deeper level, to that of production. Making this
          transition, he develops the concept of labour first at an abstract level (that is,
          independent of any historical process), and later in the particular forms in which it
          develops in the capitalist mode of production: 
            Labour is a process in which both
          man and nature participate, and in which man of his own accord starts, regulates and
          controls the material reactions between himself and nature... By thus acting on the
          external world and changing it, he at the same time changes his own nature. He develops
          his slumbering powers and compels them to act in obedience to his sway (1867, p. 130).(5) 
            The clearest statement of the importance which Marx attached to the material
          conditions of the productive process is found in the preface to A Contribution to the
          Critique of Political Economy ( 1859): 
            In the social production of their
          life, men enter into definite relations that are indispensable and independent of their
          will, relations of production which correspond to a definite state of development of their
          material productive forces. The sum total of these relations of production constitutes the
          economic structure of society, the real foundtion, on which rises a legal and political
          superstructure and to which correspond definite forms of social consciousness. The mode of
          production of material life conditions the social, political and intellectual life process
          in general. It is not the consciousness of men that determines their being, but, on the
          contrary, their social being that determines their consciousness. 
             It is important to stress that from this method of historical analysis
          it cannot be deducted that man is simply a product of material conditions; Marx criticizes
          Feuerbach for adopting this vicw, which leaves out the subjective, creative side of man's
          interaction with nature.(6) What Marx wishes to stress is that  | 
         
       
      
        
          to understand man, we must begin with the
          material conditions of the productive proccess; this does not imply economic determinism,
          although Engels later recognized some responsibility for the diffusion of this view: 
            Marx and I are ourselves partly to
          blame for the fact that the younger people sometimes lay more stress on the economic side
          than is due to it. We had to emphasize the main principle vis-a-vis our adversaries, who
          denied it, and we had not always the time, the place, or the opportunity to give their due
          to other elements involved in the interaction (quoted in McLellan, 1975, p. 41) 
             As regards Marx's method of analysis, he emphasized that any science had
          to penetrate from the apparent movement of things to their real underlying causes. This
          involved a distinction between appearance and essence, going back a long way from Hegel
          through Spinoza and Aristotle.(7) As regards economics, he conceives it as the core of any scientific view of
          society, and criticizes those economists who 
          dealt only with the market system (appearance)
          without considering the social foundation (essence) in which the market is based.
          (McLellan, 1975, p 58). 
             The essential elements of Marx's view of the capitalist system are found
          in Capital, but it is studied there only from the point of view of the mode of
          production, without relating it to any social formation in which it develops. This part of
          Marx's work was incomplete at his death. It is generally argued that the fundamental
          elements of the methodology of Marx's economic doctrines are found in the general
          introduction to his Grundrisse ( 1859, pp. 100-108), and in the preface to the
          second edition of Capital (1867, pp. xvii-xxiv), and that the methodology relates
          to Hegel, the economic analysis to Smith and Ricardo. Nevertheless, a recent study of
          Marx's method of analysis in Capital has contributed new ideas to the debate (
          Echeverria, forthcoming) 
             The fundamental theoretical nucleus of Marx's analysis is the labour
          theory of value;(8) from this it follows that the capitalist mode of production is governed by the
          drive to extract surplus value from a class of wage labourers, to realize this surplus
          value by finding a market for the commodities in which it is embodied, and to turn this
          surplus value into capital for investment in new means of production to maintain and
          expand the process. 
             From the point of view of our analysis, the principal implications of
          the labour theory of value for the long-term future of capitalisrn are that
                                              
          884 | 
             (i) the rate of profits for capitalists would tend to
          decrease, thus forcing them to engage in a continual struggle to avoid this fall, marked
          among other things by the need for the geographic expansion of their economies; 
             (ii) the working class would be totally excluded from 'objective
          wealth';(9) 
             (iii) the system as a whole would be shaken as a result of these and
          other factors by a series of crises that would culminate in a transition to a higher
          system. 
             The development of this system of production first in the United Kingdom
          and later in other countries led them to develop between themselves and with the rest of
          the world relationships different from those which had prevailed before, and dictated
          primarily by their particular economic needs. These relationships in turn tend to evolve
          in accordance with the transformation of the economies of these countries and of  
          those in the rest of the world. The relationships among the advanced countries in the
          system, and those between the advanced countries and the backward countries (the forms in
          which the latter furnish the needs of the former) are not static, but evolve through
          history. 
             Within the Marxist tradition the term 'im- perialism' was initially
          applied to the relations between advanced and backward countries within the capitalist
          system, and later to the totality of a particular phase (the monopoly phase) in the
          development of that system, characterized by a particular form of relationships among the
          advanced countries, and between them and the backward countries. The fact that the concept
          has been used to define both those aspects of capitalist development which have related
          the fortunes of advanced and backward areas, and the monopoly phase of the
          development of that system, has produccd a certain degree of confusion regarding the
          provenance of the concept and its proper concerns.(10) This confusion is also related to the fact
          that if one of the fundamental tenets of  Marxism is that different aspects of the
          theory of capitalist society and development are indivisible strictu sensu, it may
          appear to be impossihle to speak of a Marxist theory of imperialism; we could only look at
          it as an aspect of the theory of capitalism. In that case, imperialism could be referred
          to as a theory only in Lenin's sense of  the term -a stage in the development of
          capitalism. Despite this, I believe that it is absolutely legitimate to use the concept of
          imperialism to designate only those aspects of capitalist development which have  | 
         
       
      
        
           
          related the fortunes of the advanced and backward areas within the world capitalist
          system, and even to speak of a 'theory cf imperialism' in this sense, so long as we accept
          that different theories can have different status.(11) In this case the theory of imperialism would
          be part of a wider theoretical field, that of the Marxist theory of capitalism, and, in
          the end, the problem would simply be one of specifying with clarity whether the term
          'imperialism' is used and understood in its wider or more restricted sense, and whether it
          is understood as a theory in both cases, or only in the first. 
           
          b. The field of study of the Marxist 
          theory of capitalism 
           
             For analytica[ purposes we may distinguish between three concerns
          in the Marxist theory of capitalism; according to the form in which imperialism is
          understood it will cover one or all of these concerns:(12) 
             (i) the development and the
          economic and class structure of advanced capitalist societies (especially the factors
          which drive them to geographical expansion of  their economies), and the relations
          between them ; 
             (ii) the economic and political relations between advanced nations and
          backward or colonial nations within the world capitalist system; 
            (iii) the development and economic and class structure in the more backward
          nations of the capitalist system  (particularly the way in which their dynamic is
          generated through their particular modes of articulation with the advanced countries). 
            The Marxist analysis of  the capitalist system attempts to take these
          three concerns together, and build with them a theory of its development. If one uses the
          concept of imperialism in its widest sense, the theories of capitalism and imperialism
          become identical; if one uses it in its more restricted sense, its analysis relates
          primarily to the historical development of the second concern. From this last point of
          view we can distinguish in the theory of imperialism, with Sutcliffe, 
            three quite distinct phases (defined
          logically rather than temporally) in the relations between capitalism and the
          peripheral countries and areas of the world. One (prominent in Marx's and Engels's
          writings) involves plunder (of wealth and slaves) and exports of capitalist manufactures
          to the peripheral countries. The second (uppermost in Lenin's writing) involves the export
          of capital,                                       
                         
          885 | 
          competition
          for supplies of raw materials and the growth of monopoly. The third involves a more
          complex, post-colonial dependency of the peripheral countries. in which foreign capital
          (international corporations), profit repatriation, adverse changes in the terms of trade
          (unequal exchange) all play a role in confining, distorting or halting economic
          development and industrialization (1972a, p. 172). (The emphasis is mine.) 
             In each of these phases of imperialist relations the peripheral areas
          would have furnished the needs, in different ways, of the advanced capitalist nations; in
          the first, by assisting primary accumulation and allowing those nations to carve out their
          essential initial markets; in the second, by playing a role in the partial  'escape'
          of a more mature capitalism from the consequences of its contradictions (as analysed by
          Luxemburg, 1913;.Bukharin, 1915; and Lenin, 1916 ); and in the third, the least
          well-defined, advanced mature capitalism appears to attempt to secure itself against the
          emergence of competition which could threaten its stability, organization and growth. 
             I shall attempt to demonstrate that to the analysis of each of these
          three phases in the relationships between the advanced and peri- pheral countries in the
          capitalist world postu- lated above there corresponds a particular analysis of the
          development of capitalism in backward nations. The first, essentially that of Marx and
          Engels, analyses capitalism as a historically progressive system, which will be
          transmitted from the advanced countries (through colonialism, free trade, etc.) and which
          will spread through the backward nations by a continual process of destruction and
          replacement of pre-capitalist structures. As a result of this process a series of new
          capitalist societies would arise, whose development would be similar, in the post-colonial
          period, to that of  the advanced countries themselves; this, then, would be followed
          by the development of the series of contradictions inherent to the capitalist system,
          which would tend to lead to a higher system of development. 
            The second approach to the development of capitalism in backward nations,
          found primarily 
          in the writings of the so-called  'classics of imperialism', concerned itself first
          with the peculiarities of the development of Russian capitalism, and afterwards with that
          of other more backward areas of the world in the 'monopolistic' phase of the world
          capitalist system. As regards the development of Russian capitalism, (as we shall see in
          detail below) its historically progressive character is stressed, but this development is
          no longer analysed simply  | 
         
       
      
        
          as a process of destruction and replacement
          or its pre-capitalist structures, but as a far more complex process of interplay between
          its internal and external structures. These analyses stress the difficulties resulting
          from 'late' industrialization, the ambiguous role of foreign capital  (from Western
          Europe), and the great capacity for survival of  pre-capitalist structures. As
          regards capitalist development in other more backward regions of the world, we may
          distinguish two major historical stages in the analyses of the 'classics of imperialism'.
          The first was characterized by its analysis (following Marx) of capitalist development in
          the colonies as historically progressive, but (qualifying Marx's analysis) limited by the
          new imperatives of the advanced economies in their monopoly phase. Faced with these
          imperatives the advanced nations were, in the view of these writers, succeeding in
          restricting modern industrialization in the colonies. Nevertheless, they stress that once
          the colonial bonds are broken modern industrialization could eventually take place. Thus
          the capitalist development of backward nations would take on a similar character to that
          of the advanced nations. At the same time they insist that this process of post-colonial
          industrialization would in no way be free from political and economic difficulties and
          contradictions; on the contrary , the emerging national bourgeoisies would face the
          difficult but by no means impossible political task of developing their own bourgeois
          revolutions, and the no less difficult but equally possible task of  'late'
          industrialization. 
             It was at the beginning of the 1920s that this approach was transformed
          as emphasis was placed on a different set of difficulties (particularly of a political
          nature) hindering the process of post-colonial industrialization. 
            The third approach was first developed in the 1950s, and 'took off' with the
          publication in 1957 of Baran's The Political Economy of Growth; it is characterized
          by the acceptance, almost as an axiomatic truth, of the argument that no Third World
          country can now expect to break out of a state of economic dependency and advance to an
          economic position beside the major capitalist industrial powers. This is a very important
          proposition since it not only establishes the extent to which capitalism remains
          historically progressive in the modern world, but also thereby defines the economic
          background to political action. Yet, too often, the question is ill-defined; it is not
          se/f-evident; its intellectual origins are obscure; and its actual foundations are in need
          of a fuller analysis. It is in this third phase that the analyses of the
                                                                         
          886 | 
          dependency school emerge,
          although they are not confined to this phase, but relate to the forms of articulation of
            the economies and politics of the Latin American nations with the advanced nations
          throughout the whole period covered by the three phases I have enumerated, 
              The core of these analyses is the study of the dynamics of
          individual Latin American societies through the concrete forms of articulation between
            'external factors' (the general deter- minants of the capitalist system) and
          'internal factors'  (the specific determinants of each of these societies). They are
          therefore a part of the theory of imperialism, if this is understood as the study of the
          capitalist system as a whole, or complementary to it, if it is understood as concerning
          itself with the political and economic relations between advanced and backward areas of
          the capitalist world. In both cases it is intimately connected with the theory of
          imperialism, and in no way intended as an alternative to it, as some of  its critics
          have wrongly argued.(13) 
              As the majority of dependency studies are intimately connected
          with the development of Marxist thought in regard to the development of capitalism in
          backward nations, and as these analyses refer to the development of  Latin America
          throughout the whole period covered by the three phases we have discussed, we shall begin
          by examining the first two phases of discussion concerning capitalist development in
          backward countries. 
           
          c. Marx and Engels on the development of 
          capitalism in backward nations . 
           
              It is not easy to analyse Marx's and Engels's approach to the
          development of capitalism in the backward regions of  the world, as their remarks on
          the subject are scattered throughout their respective works, In Marx's case, although the
          analysis of the capitalist mode of production in Capital is a work of profound and
          systematic brilliance, his specific references to the concrete forms in which this mode of
          production is developed in backward regions are not found there, but in various of  
          his other works, Of relevance among his political writings is the Communist Manifesto (
          1848); among his theoretical writings, the preface to A Contribu- tion to the Critique
          of Political Economy ( 1859); among his correspondence, that with his contacts among
          the Russian left; and among his articles to newspapers, those in the New York Daily
          Tribune between 1853 and 1859. Unfortunately, his concrete references are al-  | 
         
       
      
        
          most all concerned with India and China,
          with only superficial references made to Latin America. This is unfortunate not only
          because we are ourselves interested in Latin America, but more significantly because the
          sub-continent would have provided Marx with a backward region already developing in a way
          which would be typical of post-colonial societies in later years, with the exception of
          those of European settlement. While formally free, the countries of  Latin America
          were economically backward and dependent. 
             In a letter written in the closing years of his life, Marx stressed that
          in Capital he had studied only the genesis of capitalism in Western Europe (Marx,
          1877, p. 53). Nevertheless, it is from that same work that we can deduce with clarity his
          analysis of the tendencies which would guide the expansion of the capitalist economies
          towards the backward regions of the world. The most relevant chapters are those concerning
          primary accumulation (1867, Ch. XXIV) and foreign trade (1894, Ch. XIV). 
             The central element behind the need of the advanced capitalist economies
          to expand is the need to develop an effective means of countering the tendency for the
          rate of profit to fall; such expansion makes it possible to expand the scale of
          production, to lower the costs of raw materials and of the products needed to maintain and
          reproduce the labour force at home (making it possible to keep salaries low), and thus to
          increase the surplus by helping to preserve the low organic composition of capital.
          Furthermore, for a period of time the capitalist in an advanced country can gain a higher
          rate of profits by selling
                        
                         in competition with commodity producers in other countries with
          lessor facilitics for production...in the same way that a manufacturer exploits a new
          invention before it has become general (1894, Section 5).(14) 
             Nevertheless, Marx did not confine himself to the analysis of  the
          driving forces which lead to the expansion of capitalism. In his analysis of the effect of
          this upon the backward regions, following the Hegelian tradition, he  
          distinguishes between the subjective motivations for this expansion and its
          objective historical results. On the one hand he condemns this expansion as the most
          brutalizing and dehumanizing that history has ever known, but on the other he argues that
          it is necessary if the backward societies are to develop. Only capitalism, he argues, can
          provide thc necessary economic and technological infrastructure
                                                           
          887 | 
          which will enable society to
          allow for the free development of every member according to his capacity; and capitalism
          can only develop in them through its penetration and imposition from abroad. Only on the
          basis of this dialectical understanding of capitalism can we understand the famous
          affirmation in the preface to the first edition of Capital that 
           the backward country suffers nut only from
          the development of capitalist production, but also from the incompleteness of that
          development (1867, p. xiv). 
             In general terms we may say that it is analytically convenient to
          distinguish two intimately connected levels in Marx's analysis of the development of
          capitalism in backward nations. One relates to the necessity (both political and
          economic) of capitalism as an essential step towards higher forms of development of
          productive forces, the other to the possibility and viability (both political and
          economic) of its development. These two levels of analysis are present in the Marxist
          tradition with differing degrees of emphasis. In Marx's writings on the subject the
          central concern is with the necessity for capitalist development, with its feasibility
          taken completely for granted. In the present day however the emphasis is placed more on
          the second level of analysis, that of the feasibility of capitalist development in the
          periphery.(15) 
             As regards the first aspect, the necessity of capitalist development,
          Marx states very clearly, at least until the important change which comes towards the end
          of his life, that socialism can only be attained through capitalist development, and that
          this will not be produced in the backward regions of the world by the development of their
          own productive forces, as was the case in Western Europe, but by the impact upon them of
          thc capitalism of  Western Europe itself. 
             Marx is overtly hostile to the modes of production in existence in
          non-European socie- ties, chiefly on the grounds of their unchanging nature, which he saw
          as a drag on the process of history, and thus a serious threat to socialism. This led him,
          while condemning the brutality and hypocrisy of colonialism, to regard it as historically
          neccessary . 
             Initially, in the Communist Manifesto Marx and Engels appear to
          refer to the backward nations en masse as 'barbarians', 'semi-barbarians', 'nations
          of peasants', and  'the East', in a manner which contrasts strikingly with their
          meticulous study of European society and history, and is particularly unsatis- | 
         
       
      
        
          factory in a work which makes the strongest
          possible claim to be based upon a universa11y applicable scientific interpretation of
          history. However, 11 years later, in the preface to A Contribution to the Critique of
          Political Economy, Marx made a more serious attempt to relate the socio-economic
          conditions of the non-European world to his general theory of history, but he did so
          elliptica11y, and in a way that has bedevi1led Marxism ever since. Discus- sing the stages
          of economic development, he strongly brings out the dialectica1 tensions inherent in every
          period, saying, in a  passage that has become classic: 
            no social order ever disappears
          before all the productive forces for which there is room in it have been developed; and
          new, higher relations of production never appear before the material conditions of their
          existence have matured in the womb of   the old society (1859, p, 337), 
            Proceeding to analyse the four modes of production, Asiatic, Ancient, Feudal
          and Capi- talist, he leaves the Asiatic mode in a form which is difficult to understand.
          There is a clear perception of a kind of continuity (its movement produced by the
          development of contradictions) between the Ancient, Feudal, Capitalist and Socialist modes
          of production, but the Asiatic mode is left disconnected, as if it had neither past nor
          future.(16) 
             If  Marx never directly discusses this problem in his work  he
          does so indirectly, stressing time and again that it should not be forgotten that the
          horizon of his work on the discussion of  historical development is essentia1ly
          European. In a letter written to a Russian Socialist journal in 1877, and already
          mentioned on page 887, he warns his readers not to 
             metamorphose [his] historicaI
          sketch of the          genesis of capital in
          Western Europe into a      historical-philosophical theory of
            the general     path every people is fated to tread, whatever
          the    historical circumstances in which it find itself, 
          and goes on to criticize any approach which seeks to understand history 
             by using as one's masterkey a
          general historical-  philosophical theory, the supreme virtue of  which consists
          in being supra- historical. 
             The problem of the Asiatic mode of production is not merely the academic
          one of stablishing how far Marx's theory of history is consistent and universal;  it
          is that as it does not possess a dialectic of internal development it can only evolve
          through the penetration of European capitalism. For this reason Marx analyses european
          expansion in India as brutal, but  'a necessary step towards Socialism' ( 1853 ).
                                              
          888 | 
          Such an expansion would have a
          destabilizing and disintegrating effect on the Asiatic mode of production, re-stabilizing
          and re-integrating such societies in a capitalist mode of development which would bring
          with it the development of productive forces and generate an interna1 dynamic which would
          lead such societies towards higher stages of development. 
            It is essential to note here that Marx makes no distinction between endogenous
          capitalist development (such as occurred in Western Europe) and that which is introduced
          from outside. Irrespective of its origins, capitalism once implanted in a society will
          develop in a certain way. If one of the central characteristics is to develop both
          objective wealth and poverty, this would exist within each society, rather than between
          societies. 
            Only fleetingly in the case of China and with much greater clarity, towards
          the end of his life, in the case of  Russia, does Marx recognize the possibility that
          different traditional structures could be capable of serving as a starting point for
          movement towards more advanced stages of development; in the first case he speaks
          ironically of the possibility of a bourgeois revolution, in the second of a socialist
          revolution. 
             In February 1850 there was a wave of agrarian interest in China, and
          Marx wrote: 
             when our european
          reactionaries, on their next flight through Asia will have finally reached the Chinese
          Wall, the gates that lead to the seat of primeva1 reaction and conservantism - who knows,
          perhaps they will read the following inscription on the Wall: Republique Chinoise -
          Liberté, Egalité, Fraternité! (quoted in Averini, 1976. p, 251). 
             Regarding the Russian case, in reply to a letter from the Russian
          Marxist, Vera Sassoulitch, in February 1881 (to which we shall return later) Marx stresses
          the possibility that the particular traditional agrarian structures of  Russia, could
          serve as a starting point for socialist development. He reaffirms this point of view
          together with Engels, in the preface to a new Russian edition of the Communist
          Manifesto in 1882. (17) 
                  Passing now to the analysis of Marx's
          attitude regarding the possibility of capitalist development in the non-European world, it
          must be stated that Marx leaves no room for misinterpretation; the dynamism and capacity
          for expansion of  the youthful capitalism of  his period would be reproduced in
          any society which it penetrated; furthermore, he seemed to expect a proliferation of
          autonomous capitalist societies, fundamentally similar to those in Western Europe. There
          are three particular  | 
         
       
      
        
          excerpts which have become obligatory
          points of reference, and to which we need refer only briefly. In the Communist
          Manifesto Marx and Engels argue that the development of capitalism in Western Europe
          will 
             compel all nations, on pain
          of extinction, to adopt the bourgeois mode of production, 
          and 5 years later, in his article on the Future Results of British Rule in India (1853),
          Marx argues that English imperialism will not be able to avoid the industrialization of
            India: 
            when you have once introduced
          machinery into 
             the locomotion of a country which possesses iron and coals you are
          unable to withhold it from its fabrication. (the emphasis is mine). 
          Finally, 14 years later, in the preface to the first edition of Capital we find his
          famous statement: 
            the country that is more developed
          industrially only shows, to the less developed, the image of its own future. 
          We may then conclude, with Kierman, that 
            So far as can be seen, what he
          [Marx] had in mind was not a further spread of Western imperialism, but a proliferation of
          autonomous capitalism, such as he expected in India and did witness in North America
          (1967, p. 183). 
            Without doubt, the attitude of some dependency writers today that capitalist
          industrialization in the periphery is no longer feasible goes against the spirit and
          letter of  Marx's writings. What is important, as  Sutcliffe has argued, is to
          ask whether the difference is one of circumstance or diagnosis ( 1972a, p. 180);
          that is to say, whether capitalism has been transformed in such a way that the
          industrialization of the periphery cannot take place within the capitalist system, or
          whether it is that Marx's analysis is itself over-optimistic regarding the possibilities
          of industrialisation in the backward areas of the world. We shall return to this point as
          the analysis proceeds. 
           
              d. Discussions
          on the development of capitalism in backward nations by the 
                  'classic writers' on imperialism 
           
            If  Hilferding (1910) had already provided an important Marxist study
          of imperialism, it is in Luxemburg (1913), Bukharin (1915) and Lenin (1916) that we find
          the most important contributions from the period in which capitalism was moving through
          its monopoly phase. I shall refer only briefly to the works of  Luxemburg and
          Bukharin; as regards Lenin's work, I shall 
                                                  
          889  | 
          concentrate on those aspects
          which are most relevant to the issues under discussion. 
            Rosa Luxemburg's The Accumulation of Capital (1913) was the first
          Marxist analysis of the world capitalist economy in tbe light of the three concerns
          outlined earlier in this paper, and remains among the most complete; it is certainly the
          only one of  the classic writing on imperialism which sets out to provide a
          systematic analysis of the effect which imperialism would have on the backward countries.
          Unfortunately, the rigour, profundity and creativity of  the analysis are limited by
          the fact that, following the Marxist tradition of  the period, she underestimates
          both the increase in real wages which takes place as capitalism develops in the advanced
          countries, and the internal inducement to invest provided by technological progress.
          Consequently she overplays and misunderstands the role of the periphery in the process of
          accumulation of capital in the developed countries, for these two factors have played a
          vital role in rescuing capitalism from the difficulties and contradictions which it
          creates for itself. Thus the periphery has played a role both qualitatively different and
          quantitatively less important than that which her analysis depicts.(18) 
            Nikolai Ivanovitch Bukharin contributed to the analysis of imperialism
          principally in his works of 1915 and 1926. In the first he analyses the two most important
          tendencies in the world economy of the time, tendencies which were made manifest jointly
          and in contradiction to each other. These were the rapid process of internationalization
          of economic life  (the integration of  the different national economies into a
          world economy) and the process of  'nationalization' of capital  (the
          withdrawing of the interests of  the national bourgeoisies within their respective
          frontiers). The most interesting feature of  the second work is its polemic against
          Luxemburg's The Accumulation of Capital. From the point of view of our interest, it
          is unfortunate that although Bukharin stresses continually throughout the course of his
          work that imperialism is a phenomenon which connects the advanced and the backward
          economies, and criticizes Luxem- burg's views on the subject, in no part of his work does
          he analyse in concrete terms the effect of imperialism upon the backward countries.(19) 
            When one is analysing Lenin's work it is particularly important to bear in
          mind (as with the work of any political leader who is not writing for purely academic
          reasons, but with specific and concrete political ends in view),  the  | 
         
       
      
        
          political context in which the works were
          written. In fact it is necessary not only to consider the usual problems concerning the
          separation of 'history' and 'concept', 'theory' and 'practice', and the 'role' of
          ideology, but also to be aware that the relative emphases in these works are frequently
          functions of tactical moves related to factional disputes.(20) Furthermore, in the case of
          Lenin's Imperialism, The Highest Stage of Capitalism (1916) he himself was careful
          to point out that he wrote it 
             with an eye to the Tsarist
          censorship, ...with extreme caution, by hints, in an allegorical language(1916, p. I). 
           The political situation within which and as a contribution to which Lenin wrote his
          analysis of imperialism was characterized by the outbreak of the First World War and the
          subsequent collapse of the Second International. 
             Within a week of Austria's declaration of war on Serbia on 28 July 1914,
          the whole of Europe was at war. Lenin himself arrived in Switzerland on 5 September after
          a long odyssey, and set himself up in Berne. He was faced with a difficult double task -
          firstly to explain to the international socialist movement the nature of the forces which
          had unleashed the war, and secondly to account for the position adopted by the working
          class parties of the advanced capitalist countries ( which had led to the collapse of the
          Second International). If for the first of these tasks he could avail himself of the
          analysis provided by Marx of the tendencies of capitalist development, and the later
          contributions of Marxists such as Hilferding, for the second he could draw on no previous
          analyses, and he was faced with a complex task. Traditional Marxist analysis could not be
          applied simply and directly to explain why the proletariat of the advanced capitalist
          countries in general, and the social-democratic parties of the left in particular, had
          placed themselves alongside their respective bourgeoisies and against one another when the
          war broke out.(21) 
             It was no easy task to explain the capacity, unforseen by Marx, of
          capitalism to extend to important sectors of the working classes some of the benefits of
          its development; nor was it simple to derive the relevant political conclusions. This
          would in fact be the most important contribution of Imperialism, The Highest Stage of
          Capitalism, and would make of it Lenin's most important theoretical work, just as the Development
          of Capitalism in Russia ( 1899 ) is his most important study of the development of
          capitalism in a backward nation, and is in my view the pioneering classic of dependency
          studies. 
           
                                         
          890 | 
              To
          prepare himself for his difficult task Lenin re-read Marx and Hege1 with great care, and
          produced his Philosophical Notebook ( 1915) as a result. In it he stresses the
          necessity to understand Hegel's logic (and to give due importance to the subjective
          element of the dialectic) in order to understand the development of capitalism in advanced
          countries. After this, now settled in Zurich, he wrote, between January and July 1916, his
          own study of imperialism, emphasizing in the 1917 preface to the Russian edition and the
          1920 prefaces to the French and German editions the dual political purpose I have
          mentioned above. He thus makes it clear that his purpose in writing the work is different
          to that of Bukharin or Luxemburg.(22) 
              For analytical purposes we may distinguish three major themes in
          Lenin's work.(23)
          The first is the description of the most important political and economic changes in the
          advanced countries of the capitalist system, the second the analysis of the changes in
          international relations which had resulted, and particularly the role played by
          international capital, and the third the discussion of the future tendencies of the
          capitalist system in its monopoly or imperialist phase, and above all the effect these
          would have on its historical progressiveness. There is no systematic analysis of  the
          effect that this phase of the development of capitalism will have on the backward regions
          of the world  (the third concern to which I referred earlier). However, as we shall
          see later, it is possible to deduce from the analysis of the development of capitalism in
          the advanced countries in the system an implicit account of the effects it will tend to
          have in those backward regions. Nevertheless, in order to understand this implicit account
          it is necessary to go back 17 years to the Development of Capitalism in Russia,
          which is intimately connected with the analysis in the later work.(24) 
           
          e. Lenin's 'Development of 
          Capitalism in Russia'  
           
             Within the Marxist tradition it is in Lenin's work that we find the
          first systematic attempt to provide a concrete analysis of the development of capitalism
          in a backward nation. In his analysis he 
             formulated with simplicity what would be the core of the dependency
          analyses: the forms of articulation between the two parts of a single mode of production,
          and the subordination of one mode of production to another (Cardoso, 1974a, p. 325).  | 
         
       
      
        
            In this work then, we find a
          detailed and profound study of the forms in which developing capitalism in Russia is
          articulated both to the economics of Western Europe and to the other existing modes of
          production in Russia itself. That is to say, the way in which Russia - its classes, state
          and economy - is articulated to the corresponding elements in the countries of Western
          Europe. The essay was written as part of a profound controversy in Russia itself regarding
          the necessity and the feasibility of capitalist development there. Discussion of this
          controversy is particularly relevant, as it was in the context of an identical controversy
          in Latin America in the 1950s and 1960s that the contribution of the dependency studies
          was made. 
            Given that Russia was the first backward country in which Marxism developed,
          it is not surprising that it should have been the setting for the first Marxist debates
          regarding the feasibility of capitalist development, and as I have stated, Lenin's Development
          of Capitalism in Russia was part of this debate and of his constant polemic with the
          Narodniks.(25) 
             The central argument of the Narodniks was that capitalist development
          was not necessary for the attainment of socialism in Russia, and that from an economic
          point of view it was by no means clear that capitalism was a viable system for a backward
          country such as Russia. They laid great stress upon the problems created by 'late' entry
          into the process of capitalist industrialization. 
             Regarding the necessity for capitalist development in Russia, the
          Narodniks were convinced that the Russian peasant commune(26) with its system of communal ownership was
          essentially socialist, and capable of  forming the basis of a future socialist order;
          hence Russia might indeed lead the rest of Europe on the road to socialism. 
             From what Marx and Engels had written before they became interested in
          the Russian case it is possible to deduce a priori their disagreement with the
          Narodniks. It was a central point of their analysis that the peasantry, fundamentally on
          account of its feudal origins, was a backward element in European society, in relation to
          the capitalist bourgeoisie and, a fortiori, in relation to the proletariat.
          Wherever capitalism was advanced, the peasantry was a decadent class.(27) On this account it is placed in
          the Communist Manifesto alongside a number of petty bourgeois groups, as Marx and
          Engels speak of 
             the small manufacturers, the
          shopkeepers, the artisans and the peasant.... 
           
                                                      
          891 | 
            Only when the
          bourgeoisie and the proletariat, together or apart, are incapable of carrying out the
          bourgeois revolution and  the overthrow of feudalism would it be permissible to
          support the peasantry and its political organizations, let alone to fight for its interest
          in individual ownership of the land. 
             At the end of the 1860s, attracted by the development of the left in
          Russia, Marx and Engels learnt Russian and threw themselves into the current debates
          there. In 1875 Engels was stressing the necessity for capitalist development, though less
          as a necessity of an absolute nature than as a result of the fact that the Russian system
          of communal property was already decadent. For this reason it was impossible to 'leap
          over' the capitalist stage through the transformation of the communal institutions of the
          feudal past into the fundamental bases of the socialist future. On the other hand, he
          argued, the triumph of the socialist revolution in the advanced capitalist countries would
          help Russia itself to advance rapidly towards socialism (see Carr, Vol. 2, 1966, p. 385 ). 
             Two years later Marx entered the debate with the letter I have already
          discussed (page 887). In it he expresses a posilion similar to that of Engels, arguing
          that the possibility that a different transition to socialism might take place in Russia
          no longer appeared to exist: 
             If Russia continues on the path which she has been following since 1861
          [the emancipation of the serfs] she will be deprived of the finest chance ever offered by
          history to a nation of avoiding all the ups and downs of the capitalist order. 
          In the following year a group of young Narodniks led by Plekhanov broke with the rest and
          headed for Switzerland; their differences were both political and theoretical, in that
          they opposed the use of terrorism and embraced the spirit and letter of the Communist
          Manifesto. Nevertheless, they came to adopt positions 'more Marxist than those of
            Marx himself', and in 1881 Vera Sassoulitch wrote to Marx seeking a clarification
          of  his views regarding the peasant commune. After composing three long drafts which
          are among his papers he contented himself with a brief response. His analysis of Capital
          , he stated, was based upon conditions in Western Europe, where communal property had
          long since disappeared; this analysis was by no means mechanically aplicable to Russia,
          where such forms of property still survived in the peasant communes. Nevertheless, for
          these to serve as a starting-point for a 'socialist regeneration of Russia' they would
          require a series of conditions which allowed them to develop freely. Nowhere in his reply
          does Marx express  | 
         
       
      
        
          any doubt that capitalist development is
          possible in Russia; his argument is that perhaps given the specificity of the Russian
          situation the price of capitalist development in human terms would be too high for it to
          be counted as progressive development.(28) 
             Regarding the other facet of the controversy with the Narodniks, that of
          the possibility of capitalist development in Russia, it is in the writings of the
          Narodniks that it is first suggested that capitalism may not be viable in a backward
          nation. Thus the Narodnik writer Vorontsov argued that 
             the more belated is the
          process of industrialization, the more difficult it is to carry it on along the capitalist
          lines (quoted in Walicki, 1969, p. 121) 
          For the Narodniks, furthermore, 
             backwardness provided an
          advantage in that the    technological benefits of modern capitalism could
          be used, while its structure rejected (Sutcliffe, 1974a, p. 182). 
             For these reasons then, for the Narodniks it was not unly possible but
          economically imperative to escape from the capitalist stage and move directly towards
          socialism. This same position will be found, as we shall see, in the 1960s in Latin
          America in the writings of one group of dependency writers. 
             In the last decade of the 19th century, along with the first industrial
          strikes in Russia, there appeared a number of Marxist groups, while the Narodniks, caught
          in the blind alley of terrorism, were beginning to lose influence. One of these was the
          'League of Struggle for the Liberation of the Working Class', which appeared in Petrograd
          in 1895; among its members was a disciple of Plekhanov, who wrote successively under the
          pseudonyms of 'Petrov', 'Frei' and 'Lenin', the latter after 1902. The young Lenin entered
          vigorously into the debate with the Narodniks, writing his major contribution towards it,
          the Development of Capitalism in Russia, between 1896 and 1899. 
              Lenin agreed with the Narodniks only in one respect: that
          capitalism was a brutalizing and degrading economic system. Nevertheless, like Marx, he
          distinguished clearly between this aspect of capitalism and the historical role which it
          played in Russia: 
              Recognition of the
          progressiveness of capitalism is quite cumpatible...with the full recognition of its
          negative and dark sides..., with the full recognition of the profound and all around
          social contradictions which are inevitably inherent in capitalism, and which reveal the
          historically transient nature of this economic regime. It is the 
                                                   
          892  | 
            Narodniks who exert every effort to show that an admission of the
          historically progressive nature of capitalism means an apology for capitalism... The
          progresssive historical role of capitalism may be summed up in two brief propositions:
          increase in the productive forces of social labour, and the socialization of that labour
          (1899, pp. 602-603). (The emphasis is mine) 
            Their differences were not only at the theoretical level however; for Lenin
          the Narodniks were in error over basic matters of fact. Lenin shows, after a long and
          detailed study of the labour market in Russia, that capitalism was already developing
          rapidly, and that it should already be considered as essentially a capitalist country,
          although 
             very backward as compared
          with other capitalist countries in her economic development (1899, p. 507). 
              Furthermore, regarding the  'obstacles'  to the development
          of capitalism in Russia identified by the Narodniks, such as unemployment and
          underemployment, he states that these are the characteristics of capitalist
          development, and that the Narodniks are guilty of transforming 
             the the basic conditions for
          the development of capitalism into proof that capitalism is impossible (1899, pp.589-590). 
             For Lenin what was indispensable was the profound study of why the
          development of capitalism in Russia, while rapid in relation to development in the
          pre-capitalist period, was slow in comparison to the development of other capitalist
          nations. It is in his approach to this question that, in my opinion, we find his most
          important contribution to the study of the development of capitalism in backward nations. 
             His analysis of the slowness of capitalist development in Russia ( which
          some dependency writers would still insist on describing as 'the development of  
          Russian underdevelopment') has three interrelated themes: 
             (i) the weakness of the
          Russian bourgeoisie as an agent for the furthering of capitalist development; 
             (ii) the effect of competition from Western Europe in slowing the growth
          of modern industry in Russia; and 
             (iii) the great and unexpected capacity for survival of the traditional
          structures of Russian society. 
              Regarding the weakness of the Russian bourgeoisie, Lenin was
          taking up a theme already discussed by the Russian left.(29) The interesting feature of his analysis is
          that he relates this weakness to the ambiguous role  | 
         
       
      
        
          played by foreign capital (from Western
          Europe) in the development of  Russian capitalism. On the one hand it accelerates the
          process of industrialization, while on the other it lies behind the weak and dependent
          nature of the small Russian bourgeoisie. 
              In what he says in relation to the second factor which explains
          the slower pace of Russian capitalist development, Lenin stresses that as Russia was
          industrializing  'late',  the development of  its modern industry had
            to compete not only with the production of  traditional artesanal industry (as
          the first countries to industrialize had had to do) but also with the far more efficient
          industrial production of advanced countries within the capitalist system. 
              Finally, Lenin places great emphasis and explanatory value upon
          the great capacity for survival of  traditional structures in Russia: 
              In no single capitalist
          country has there been such an abundant survival of ancient institutions that are
          incompatible with capitalism, producers who [quoting Marx] 'suffer not only from the
          development of capitalist production, but also from the incompleteness of that
          development' (1899, p. 607). 
              An important aspect of Lenin's analysis of the survival of
          traditionai structures (and one that is particularly relevant to the present situation in
          Latin America) is his treatment of the interconnections which develop between the
          different modes of production which existed in Russia: 
              the facts utterly
          refute the view widespread here in Russia that 'factory' and 'handicraft' industry are
          isolated from one another. On the contrary, such a division is purely artificial (1899, p.
          547). 
              Lenin's view of capitalist development in Russia can be summarized
          as follows: 
              (i) in conformity with
          the central tradition of classical Marxist analysis he sees it as politically necessary
          and economically feasible; 
              (ii) through a concrete analysis he shows that its development is
          fully underway; 
              (iii) the development of capitalism in backward nations is seen
          for the first time not simply as a process of destruction and replacement of
          pre-capitalist structures, but as a more complex process of interplay between internal and
          external structures; in this interplay, the traditional structures play an important role,
          and their replacement will be slower and more difficult than previously supposed; and 
              (iv) despite the complexity of Russian capi- 
                                                
          893  | 
            talist development, both it and the bourgeois revolution which would
          accompany it would eventually develop and become relatively similar to that of  
          Western Europe.  (The development of capitalism in Russia would therefore be a kind
          of 'slow-motion replay' of the same development in Western Europe.) 
            I shall now go on to examine thc relationship between this analysis of Russian
          capitalism and Lenin's theory of imperialism. 
           
          f. The later development of Lenin's
          thought 
          regarding the development of capitalism in 
          backward nations 
           
            The two historical events which had a profound influence upon the future
          development of Lenin's thought in all its aspects were the revolution of 1905 and the
          collapse of the Second International. If the second of these showed that it was by no
          means clear that the development of capitalism led necessarily and 'inevitably' to
          socialism, the first had shown the concrete possibility of interrupting capitalist
          development, avoiding its potential risks, and transferring to the proletariat the task of
          completing the democratic-bourgeois revolution. 
            The collapse of the Second International showed that as it developed,
          capitalism also created an unforeseen capacity to assimilate important sectors of the
          proletariat, and that therefore the development of its internal contradictions would take
          a more complex path than had hitherto been realized. 
            Marx had emphasized that capitalist development was condemned by its own
          nature to resolve its difficulties and contradictions through transformations which would
          necessarily lead to the creation of others even greater. Nevertheless, there seemed to be
          one aspect of capitalist development which at least in the medium term was acting in the
          opposite direction: rising real wages. These, essentially a result of the organization and
          struggle of the working class, played a crucial role in the development of capitalism,
          both from the point of view of its political stability, and of the increase in effective
          demand, So essential for the realization of surplus value. 
            In explaining both this capacity of capitalism to increase real wages much
          more than had been foreseen, and the political effect which it had upon the working class
          in the advanced capitalist countries, Lenin placed great emphasis upon the 'superprofits
          of im-  | 
         
       
      
        
           imperialist exploitation' (1916, p.
          9). Not long afterwards, Henry Ford, following the analysis already proposed by Hobson (
          1902, 1911 ), stated: 
             If we can distribute high
          wages, then that money is going to be spent and it will serve to make storekeepers and
          distributors and manufacturers in other lines more prosperous and this prosperity will be
          ref1ected in our sales. Country-wide high wages spell country-wide prosperity (1922, p.
          124). 
             Kalecki (1933, 1934, 1935) and Keynes ( 1936) would later incorporate
          this insight into a new theoretical conceptualization of the development of capitalism; 2
          years later, Harold Macmillan would refer as follows to the enormous political importance
          of extending to the working class some of the material benefits of capitalist development: 
             Democracy can live only so
          long as it is able to cope satisfactorily with the problems of social life. While it is
          able to deal with these problems, and secure for its people the satisfaction of their
          reasonable demands, it will retain the vigorous support sufficient for its defence (1938,
          p. 375; quoted in Kay, 1975,p. 174). 
             In this context it is important to recall  that although Marx's
          expectations regarding the standard of living of the working class under capitalism are
          not entirely clear (see note 9), it seems evident that he did not expect an increase of
          the magnitude which eventually ocurred. It emerged later that capitalism was going to
          provide rising real wages at a rate relatively similar to the rhythm of  its
          development but only after a considerable 'time-lag' (Sec Hicks, 1969, pp. 148-159). In
          1923, in what would be his last article, Lenin wrote: 
             but the Western European
          countries are not completing this development [towards socialism] as we previously
          expected they would. They are completing it not through a steady 'maturing' of socialism,
          but through the exploitation of some states by others (quoted in Foster-Carter, 1974, p.
          67). 
             The train of history was not going to drop its passengers off at the
          station of their choice, socialism, unless they took charge of it at an earlier stage. The
          contribution of the events of 1905 in Russia was precisely that it showed that it was
          possible, though by no means necessarily economically feasible. 
             From 1905 onwards, first in Trotsky and Parvus and latter in Lenin,
          there began a change of position regarding the necessity of continuing with capitalist
          development. As we saw earlier (pp. 887), Marx had stated that no social order would
          disappear before having 
                                                       
          894 | 
           developed all the
          productive forces it could contain, and that higher relationships of production would not
          appear until the old order had run its full course. The events of 1905 showed both the
          limitations of  the development of capitalism in Russia and the concrete possibility
          of interrupting it, transferring to the proletariat the task of completing the
          democratic-bourgeois revolution. Nevertheless, Engels had argued (see p. 891) that for
          this to happen there would have to be a revolution in Western Europe. Russia could play
          the role of the weakest link in the capitalist chain, and with the help of  more
          developed socialist societies could follow the path towards socialism more rapidly.
          Therefore the socialist revolution could begin in a country such as Russia, but it could
          not be completed there.(30) 
             However, the events of 1905 did not only show Lenin and the Bolsheviks
          the path to follow; they also showed Nicolas II and his brilliant Minister, Stolypin, the
          need to embark upon a rapid process of social, economic and political restructuring if
          revolution was to be avoided. Of  the transformations which they initiated Lenin
          said: 
             our reactionaries are
          distinguished by the extreme clarity of their class consciousness. They know very well
          what they want, where they are going, and on what forces they can count (quoted in
          Conquest, 1972, p. 61). 
             By this time Lenin's attitude towards the necessity for capitalist
          development was different than it had been in 1899. Should the policies of Stolypin
          succeed, and Russia enter definitively onto the capitalist path, the revolution would have
          to be postponed  for a long time. As early as 1908 Lenin saw the dangers of  
          Stolypin's policies: 
             the Stolypin constitution and
          the Stolypin agrarian policy mark a new phase in the breakdown of  the old
          semi-patriarchal and semi-feudal system of  Tsarism, a new movement towards its
          transformation into a middle-class monarchy ...It would be empty and stupid democratic
          (sic) phrase- mongering to say that the success of such a policy is 'impossible' in Russia
          ..It is possible! If  Sto1ypin's policy continues. Russia's agrarian structure will
          become completely bourgeois (quoted in Laclau, 1972, p. 69, my translation). 
             The events of the subsequent period, which ended with the assumption of
          power by thc Bolsheviks in October 1917, are the subject of one of  the great
          controversies of modern history. On the one hand the policies initiated by Stolypin showed
          clearly that Lenin's analysis of the potential of capitalist development was correct;
          during that period Russia enjoyed  | 
         
       
      
        
          a considerable industria1 boom; and by 1917
          the peasants were owners of more than three-quarters of Russian farmland, Perhaps it was
          factors such as these which led Lenin to conclude a lecture given in Zurich on 9 January
          1917, only months before he was to come to power, with the words 
            we of the old generation will
          perhaps not live to see the decisive battles of our own revolution (1917, p.158, my
          translation).(31) 
          But on the other hand it was precisely that industrial boom which strengthened the left in
          general and the Bolsheviks in particular. As the Mensheviks exercised political control
          over the older proletariat, the Bolsheviks needed a new proletariat to strengthen them;
          the industria1 boom supplied them with it. 
            This already lengthy analysis can be pursued no further here. I have tried to
          extract from it its most important contributions to the debate which would later develop
          concerning the development of capitalism in other backward nations, 
             Russia then had a series of characteristics in common with countries
          which would later attempt capitalist development, such as those related to 'late'
          industrialization, and to the leading role played by foreign capitalism and technology,
          and those linked to the emergence of a socia1 class structure somewhat different from that
          resulting from capitalist development in Western Europe, and more complex in its
          composition, with a relatively weak and dependent bourgeoisie, a sma11 but strong
          proletariat, and a relatively large 'sub-proletariat' which is its potential al1y.(32) 
            Equally however, there are also significant differences: Russia was never the
          colony of a Western European power; late industrialization is not a1ways the same if it
          occurs at differente stages of development of the world capitalist system; and as Lenin
          demonstrates brilliantly for the Russian case, the particular features of the development
          of capitalism in any backward region will depend significantly on the characteristics of
          the pre-capitalist mode of production. In the case of Latin America for example, if there
          were countries [such as Brazil, Mexico, Chile and Argentina] which were attempting to
          industrialize in the same period as industrialization was taking place in Russia, the
          social formations of those countries, inherited from Portuguese and Spanish colonization,
          were very different to those of Russia itself. In any case, if it is clear that the
          analyses of Lenin and his contemporaries cannot be applied mechanically to the development
          of capitalism in other 
                                                    
          895 | 
          periods and in other backward
          regions of the world, it remains true that in Lenin's analysis especially we find the
          essential road to follow; this is the study of the concrete forms of articulation between
          the capitalist sectors of the backward nations and the advanced nations in the system, and
          of the concrete forms taken by the subordination of pre-capitalist forms of production to
          the former, and to the rest of the system. It is essentially the study of the dynamic of
          the backward nations as a synthesis of the general determinants of the capitalist system
          (external factors) and the specific determinants of each (internal factors). 
             But if neither Lenin, Bukharin nor Luxemburg studied the concrete
          development of capitalism in other backward regions of the world, it is possible to derive
          from their analyses of imperialism the 'general determinants of the capitalist system' or
          the 'external factors' as they are generally labelled, which those regions will confront
          in their attempts to pursue capitalist development. These are essentially the driving
          forces which impelled the advanced capitalist countries towards the domination and control
          of the backward regions of the world; the specific determinants, or 'internal factors' as
          they are generally called, will depend upon the characteristics of the particular backward
          societies. 
            The driving forces behind the economic expansion of the advanced capitalist
          countries are identified, with differences of emphasis in each analysis, in the financial
          and in the productive spheres. The two are intimately connected, and are the result of a
          single process of transformation in the advanced capitalist countries. The financial
          driving forces are related to the need to find new opportunities for investment, due to
          the fact that their own economies are incapable of generating them at the same rate as
          they generate capital; those of the productive sphere are related to the necessity of
          ensuring a supply of raw materials, and continued markets for manufactured products. Thus
          it is that Bukharin and Preobrazhenzky define imperialism as: 
             the policy of conquest which
          financial capital pursues in the struggle for markets, for the sources of raw material,
          and for places in which capital can be invested (1919, p. 155). 
            The result of this would be a tendency towards a greater integration of the
          world economy, a considerable degree of capital movement, and an international division of
          labour which would restrict the growth of backward economies to the production of  | 
         
       
      
        
          mineral and agricultural primary products.
          For thlese primary products to be supplied cheaply, the lahour force in the backward
          countries would have to be kept at subsistence level. 
            As a result of the effects of the expansion of the advanced capitalist
          economies as they enter the monopoly phase of their development, the economies of the
          backward countries will tend to be characterized by increasing indebtedness and by a
          productive structure which leads them to consume what they do not produce, and to produce
          what they do not consume. The fundamental characteristics of the development of such
          economies will obviously depend upon the particular characteristics of the export sectors
          they develop, and the terms on which they exchange products and obtain capital. 
             If these relationships were shaped within a colonial context, they would
          clearly be unequal, and therefore for the colonial nation the possibilities of development
          would be very restricted. If they were shaped within a post- colonial context, the
          possibilities of development would depend upon the capacity of the national bourgeoisies
          and other dominant groups to establish a more favourable relationship with the advanced
          countrics in the system, or upon their capacity to transform the economic structure of
          their respective countries, in an effort to develop through a different type of
          integration into the world economy. 
             We may summarize the classical writers' conception of what capitalist
          development in the backward regions of the world would tend to be as foUows: imperialism
          would tend to hinder industrial development, but once the colonial bonds had been broken
          the backward countrics would be able to develop their economies in a different way, and
          eventually to industrialize. This industrialization, given its 'late' start and probably
          with the presence of foreign capital and technology, would face problems and
          contradictions, but as in the Russian case, these would not be insuperable. In the words
          of Rosa Luxemburg. 
             the imperialist phase of
          capital accumulation ...comprises the industrialization, and capitalist emancipation of
          the hinterland...[bourgeois] revolution is an essential for the process of capitalist
          emancipation. The backward communities must shed their obsolete political organisations,
          and create a modern State machinery adapted to the purpose of capitalist production
          (quoted in O'Brien, 1975, p. 16). 
             This description of the role of capitalism in the colonies clearly
          differs from that of Marx and Engels, as it refers to different stages of capitalist
          development in the advanced  
                                                       
          896  | 
          countries. Discussing their
          writings, I showed how for them the Asiatic mode of production was characterized by its
          lack of internal tensions, which bestowed upon it an unchanging nature. The penetration of
          capitalism from abroad would therefore perform the task of 'awakening' them. It follows
          directly that the concrete forms which the process would adopt would necessarily depend
          upon the type of capitalism involved. 
             Marx expected that the process which began with the development of
          railways in India would necessarily end with the placing of that country on the path
          towards industrialization. For the classical writers on imperialism on the other hand,
          while capitalism continued to be progressive in the backward nations of the world, it was
          precisely its progressiveness which would create contradictions with the needs of monopoly
          capitalism in the advanced countries; within a colonial context the imperialist countries
          can and will hinder the industrialization of the colonies. Once the colonial bonds are
          broken the incipient national bourgeoisies can proceed with the development, which was
          hindered by the colonial bonds, completing the bourgeois revolution and attempting to in-
          dustrialize. These writers did not of course mean to suggest in any way that such attempts
          at post-colonial industrialization would be free of problems and contradictions; they felt
          that as in the Russian case such countries would be able to overcome such problems and
          industrialize. Should that prove to be the case, there would appear in the post-colonial
          period new capitalist societies relatively similar to those in Western Europe (as in the
          United States and the regions of European settlement). 
             Nevertheless, the political independence of the backward nations has not
          been foUowed by development, contrary to the expectations of the authors I have been
          discussing. Even more, in the case Latin America it is precisely in the post-colonial
          period that the development of individual nations (with the due economic and political
          variations) has taken upon itself the articulations with the advanced capitalist countries
          which the classical writers on imperialism noted in the colonies: the growth of their
          productive sectors concentrated on primary products, whether mineral or agricultural; the
          degree of industrialization was limited; and their financial dependence grew enormously.(33) 
              Only around 1920 did a new vision of capitalist development in the
          backward nations begin to be developed within Marxist thought (see Lenin, 1920). It would
          be formulated explicitly at the Sixth Congress of the Com-  | 
         
       
      
        
          munist International (the Comintem) in
          1928. This approach differs from that which preceded it in that in its analysis it gives
          more importance to the role played by the traditional dominant classes of the backward
          countries (generally termed oligarchies). The power of these elites was seen to be in
          contradiction with the transformations of internal structures which would necessarily be
          brought about by capitalist development in general and industrialization in particular
          (the 'bourgeois revolution'). There would therefore exist objective conditions for
          alliances between these groups and imperialism, destined to avoid such transformations. 
             In the 1928 Congress then, Kusinen introduced new 'Theses on the
          Revolutionary Movements in Colonial and Semicolonial Countries' (Degras, 1960, pp.
          526-548). In them he argues that 
             the progressive consequences
          of capitalism, on the contrary, are not to be seen there (despite the increase in foreign
          investment). When the dominant imperialist power needs social support in the colonies it
          makes an alliance first and foremost with the dominant classes of the old pre-capitalist
          system, the feudal-type commercial and money-lending bourgeoisie (sic), against the
          majority of the people. 
             In my opinion this Congress may be considered the turning point in the
          Marxist approach to the concrete possibilities of the historical progressiveness of
          capitalism in backward countries. From this point onwards, the emphasis will be placed not
          only on the obstacles which imperialism can and does impose on the process of
          industrialization during the colonial period (obstacles which could be overcome once the
          colonial bonds had been broken), nor simply on the obstacles to any process of
          industrialization which starts late (the technological gap, the ambiguous role of foreign
          capital, and so on), which could be overcome, as had been demonstrated during the Stolypin
          period in Russia; now the historical progressiveness of capitalism in the backward regions
          of the world - in the colonial and post-colonial periods - is analysed as being
          limited by the previously mentioned alliance between imperialism and traditional elites,
          the so-called 'feudal-imperialist alliance'. 
             As the process of industrialization in the batckward countries was seen
          in contradiction not only with imperialism. but also with some internally dominant groups,
          the ability of the incipient national bourgeoisies to develop it in the post-colonia1
          phase would depend upon their political capacity to assert themselves over that alliance,
          and to impede the adoption of 
                                                   
          897  | 
          such policies as, for example,
          those of free trade which it sought to impose. 
            This double contradiction in capitalist development in Latin America
          (particularly in the process of industrialization) which would tend to be transformed into
          a single contradiction through the alliance of the groups in question, figures prominently
          in the political and economic analysis of large sectors of the Latin American left
          (including the Communist parties of the sub-continent), right into the 1960s.(34) Furthermore, it seems to have
          had an influence (albeit naturally an unacknowledged one) upon the ECLA analysis of the
          obstacles facing Latin American development, as we shall see later; the attempt to go
          beyond the terms of this analysis would be the common starting-point of the different
          approaches that I shall distinguish within the dependency school. 
             On this analysis then, the major enemy was identified as imperialism (in
          one way or another the omnipresent explanation of every social and ideological process
          that occurred), and the principal target in the struggle was unmistakable: North American
          imperialism. The allied camp, on the same analysis, was also clear: everyone, minus those
          internal groups allied with that imperialism (and in particular those groups linked to the
          traditional export sector). Thus the anti-imperialist struggle was at the same time the
          struggle for industrialization. The local state and national bourgeoisie appears as the
          potential agent for the development of the capitalist economy, which in turn was looked
          upon as a necessary stage. The popular fronts would draw on this analysis both of the
          historical role which capitalism should play in Latin America, and of the obstacles which
          it would find in its path. 
             This simple analysis of Latin American capitalist development would be
          maintained by the majority of Latin American left-wing groups until the time of the Cuban
          Revolution (1959). The discrepancies which originally existed between the guerrilla
          movement and the old Cuban Communist Party (the Partido Socialista Popular) regarding the
          character which that revolution should assume are well known, with the former arguing for
          an immediate transition to socialism,(35) the latter for the process previously analysed, which was traditionally sought
          in Latin America. 
             The Second Declaration of Havana (1962) and the declarations and
          resolutions of the first conference of  OLAS  (the Latin American Solidarity
          Organization) of 1967 left no doubt regarding the path which was chosen: the democratic
          and anti-imperialist revolution  | 
         
       
      
        
          which the continent required could only
          take a socialist form: 
             The so-called Latin American
          bourgeoisie, because of its origins and because of its economic connections and even
          kinship-Iinks with landowners, forms a part of the oligarchies which rule our America and
          is in consequence incapable of acting independently. ...It would be absurd to suppose
          that...the so-called Latin American bourgeoisie is capable of developing a political line
          independent...of imperialism, in defence of the interest and aspiration of the nation. The
          contradiction within which it is objectively trapped is, by its nature, inescapable
          (quoted in Booth, 1975, pp. 65-66). 
               It is precisely within this framework, and with the explicit
          motive of developing theoretically and documenting empirically this new form of analysis
          of the Latin American revolution that Frank enters the scene, initially with his article
          in the Monthly Review ( 1966) and later in a more elaborated form in his well-
          known study of the development (or underdevelopment) of Chile and Brazil (1967). 
               In this way Frank was to initiate one of the most important
          lines of analysis within the dependency school. At the same time, both within and outside
          ECLA, there began the development of the other two major approaches which I shall
          distinguish in this type of analysis of Latin American development. 
           
           3. THE DEPENDENCY ANALYSES 
           
               The general field of study of the dependency analyses is the
          development of Latin American capitalism. Its most important characteristic is its attempt
          to analyse it from the point of view of the interplay between internal and external
          structures. Nevertheless, we find this interplay analysed in different ways. 
               The majority of the survey articles which have been written
          regarding these analyses tend to distinguish between three major approaches within them.
          The first is that of those who do not accept the possibility of capitalist development in
          Latin America, but only of the 'development of underdevelopment', or the 'underdevelopment
          of development'; the second, of those who concentrate upon the obstacles which confront
          capitalist development in those countries (particularly market constrictions); and the
          third, of those who accept the possibility of capitalist development in Latin America,
          placing the emphasis upon the subservient forms which it adopts with 
                                                      
          898  | 
          respect to the capita1ism of
          the centre. 
             While I accept that this classification is adequate from a certain
          perspective, I feel that on a more profound analysis 'it is less than satisfactory. In my
          opinion, the differences which divide dependency analyses go further than discrepancies
          regarding simply the possibility of development within a capitalist context in Latin
          America. 
             For my part (and with the necessary degree of simplification which every
          classification of intellectual tendencies entails) I shall distinguish three major
          approaches -not mutually exclusive from the point of view of intellectual history- in
          dependency analyses. The first is that begun by Frank and continued by the 'CESO school'
          (CESO being the Centro de Estudios Sociales of the Universidad de Chile), and in
          particular by dos Santos, Marini, Caputo and Pizarro, with contributions by Hinkelam-
          mert, of CEREN (Centro de Estudios de 1a Realidad Nacional of the Universidad Catolica de
          Chile). Its essential characteristic is that it attempts to construct a 'theory of Latin
          American underdevelopment' in which the dependent character of these economies is the hub
          on which the whole analysis of underdevelopment turns: the dependent character of Latin
          American economies would trace certain processes causally linked to its underdevelopment.
          The second approach, found principally in Sunkel and Furtado, is that which is
          characterized by the attempt to reformulate the ECLA analyses of Latin American
          development from the perspective of a critique of the obstacles to 'national development'.
          This attempt at reformulation is not a simple process of adding new elements (both
          political and social) which were lacking in the ECLA analysis, but a thorough-going
          attempt to proceed beyond that analysis, adopting an increasingly different perspective.
          Finally, I distinguish that approach which deliberately attempts not to develop a
          mechanico-formal theory of dependency (and much less, a mechanico-formal theory of Latin
          American underdevelopment based on its dependent character) by concentrating its analysis
          on what have been called 'concrete situations of dependency'. In the words Cardoso : 
            The question which we should ask
          ourselves is why, it being obvious that the capitalist economy tends towards a growing
          internationalization, that societies are divided into antagonistic classes, and that the
          particular is to a certain extent con- ditioned by the general, with these premises we
          have not gone beyond the partial -and therefore abstract in the Marxist sense(36)
          -characterization  | 
         
       
      
        
            of the Latin American situation and historical process (Cardoso,
          1974, pp. 326-327). 
            What would be needed before is the study of the concrete forms in which
          dependent relationships develop; that is to say, the specific forms in which the economies
          and polities of Latin America are articulated with those of the advanced nations. 
             It is not that this approach does not recognize the need for a theory of
          capitalist development in Latin America, but that (in part as a reaction to the excessive
          theorizing in a vacuum characteristic of other analyses of dependency) it places greater
          emphasis upon the analysis of concrete situations. The theoretical reasoning which can be
          developed at present concerning capitalist development in Latin America is strictly
          limited by the lack of case studies; the need at the moment is for 'analytic' rather than
          'synthetic' work. 
             That is, without a considerable number of concrete studies any new
          theory which may be elaborated concerning capitalist development in Latin America will
          necessarily fall into the trap of the 'dialectic of thought', which consists of the
          working out upon itself of an abstract dialectic, starting from previously constructed
          concepts. 
           
          a. Dependency as the 'theory of Latin 
          American underdevelopment'  
           
              There is no doubt that the 'father' of this approach is Paul
          Baran. His principal contribution to the general literature on development (Baran, 1957)
          continues the central line of Marxist thought regarding the contradictory character of the
          needs of imperialism and the process of industrialization and general economic development
          of the backward nations.(37) Thus he affirms at the outset that 
              What is decisive is
          that economic development in underdeveloped countries is profoundly inimical to the
          dominant interests in the advanced capitalist countries (1957, p.28). 
              To avoid such development the advanced nations will form alliances
          with pre-capitalistic domestic elites (who will also be adversely affected by the
          transformations of capitalist development), intented to inhibit such transformations. In
          this way the advanced nations would have easy access to domestic resources and thus be
          able to maintain traditional modes of surplus extraction. Within this context the
          possibilities of economic growth in dependent countries would be extremely limited; the  
                                              
          899 | 
          surplus they generated would
          be expropriated in large part by foreign capital, and otherwise squandered on luxury
          consumption by traditional elites. Furthermore, not only would resources destined for
          investment thereby be drastically reduced, but so would their internal multiplying effect,
          as capital goods would have to be purchased abroad. This process would necessarily lead to
          economic stagnation, and the only way out would be political. 
               Starting out with this analysis Frank attempts to develop
          the thesis that the only political solution is a revolution of an immediately socialist
          character; for within the context of the capitalist system there could be no alternative
          to underdevelopment (Frank; 1967). 
               For the purpose of this analysis we may distinguish three
          levels in Frank's 'model of underdevelopment'. The first is that in which he attempts to
          demonstrate that Latin America and other areas in the periphery have been incorporated
          into the world economy since the early stages of their colonial periods. The second is
          that in which he attempts to show that such incorporation into the world economy has
          transformed the countries in question immediately and necessarily into capitalist
          economies. Finally, there is a third level, in which Frank tries to prove that the
          integration of these supposedly capitalist economies into the world economy is necessarily
          achieved through an interminable metropolis-satellite chain, in which the surplus
          generated at each stage is successively drawn off towards the centre. On account of this
          he develops a subsidiary thesis: 
               If it satellite status
          which generates underdevelopment, then a weaker or lesser degree of metropolis-satellite
          relations may generate less deep structural underdevelopment and/or allow for more
          possibility of locel development.(Frank, 1967, p.11) 
                But as the weakining of the satellite - metropollis
          network can, according to Frank, only take place for reasons external to the
          satellite economies, of a necessarily transient nature, it follows that there is no real
          possibility of sustained development within the system. (38) According to this analysis, the only
          alternative becomes that of breaking completely with the metropollis - satellite network
          through socialist revolution or continuing to 'underdevelop' within it. 
                 In my opinion, the value of Frank's analysis is his
          magisterial critique of the supossedly dual structure of peripheral societies.(39) Frank shows clearly that the
          different sectors of the economies in question are and have been since very | 
         
       
      
        
          early in their colonial history linked
          closely to the world economy. Moreover, he has correctly emphasized that this connection
          has not automatically brought about capitalist economic development, such as optimistic
          models (derived from Adam Smith) would have predicted, by means of which the development
          of trade and the division of labour inevitably would bring about economic development.
          Nevertheless Frank's error (shared by the whole tradition of which he is part, including
          Sweezy and Wallerstein among the better known) lies in his attempt to explain this
          phenomenon using the same economic deterministic framework of the model he purports to
          trascend; in fact, he merely turns it upside-down: the development of the 'core'
          necessarily requires the underdevelopment of the 'periphery'. Thus he criticizes both the
          alternative proposed by the traditional Latin American left (the possibility of a
          democratic bourgeois revolution, because in this context the only political solution is a
          revolution of an immediately socialist character), and the policies put forward by ECLA. 
              Nevertheless, his critique is not directed towards the real
          weaknesses in the analysis made by the Latin American left - the mechanical determination
          of internal by external structures; on the contrary, he strengthens that mechanical
          determination in his attempt to construct a model to explain the mechanisms through which
          the expropriation of the surplus takes place. Probably still unduly influenced by his
          training as an economist at the University of Chicago, he constructs a mechanico-formal
          model which is no more than a set of equations of general equilibrium (static and
          unhistorical), in which the extraction of the surplus takes place through a series of
          satellite - metropolis relationships, through which the surplus generated at each stage is
          syphoned off. 
            It is not surprising that his method leads Frank to displace class relations
          from the centre of his analysis of economic development and underdevelopment, Thus he
          develops a circular concept of capitalism; although it is evident that capitalism is a
          system where production for profit via exchange predominates, the opposite is not
          necessarily true: the existence of production for profits in the market is not ncccssarily
          a signal of capitalist production. For Frank, this is a sufficient condition for
          the existence of capitalist relations of production. Thus for Frank, the problem of the
          origins of capitalism (and therefore the origins of the development of the few and the
          underdevelopment of the majority) comes down to the origins of the expanding world market and
          not 
                                   
          900  | 
          to the emergence of a
          system of  free wage labour  
            Although Frank did not go very far in his analysis of the capitalist system as
          a whole, its origins and development, Immanuel Wallerstein tackeld this tremendous
          challende in his remarkable book, The Modern World System: Capitalist Agriculture and
          the Origins of the European World Economy in the Sixteenth Century ( 1974a), 
            Frank has reaffirmed his ideas in a series of articles published jointly in
          1969; a year later he sought to enrich his analysis with the introduction of some elements
          of Latin American class structure (Frank, 1970). 
            Frank has been criticized from all sides, and in almost every point in his
          analysis.(40) Prominent
          among his critics is Laclau (1971), who provides an excellent synthesis of Frank's
          historical model, and shows that the only way in which Frank can 'demonstrate' that all
          the 'periphery is capitalist and has been since the colonial period is by using the
          concept of capitalism in a sense which is erroneous from a Marxist point of view, and
          useless for his central proposition, that of showing that a bourgeois revolution in the
          periphery is impossible. As regards this point then, Laclau concludes that Frank makes no
          contribution, leaving the analysis exactly where it started.(41) 
            Robert Brenner (1977) takes Laclau's analysis of Frank (as well as Dobb's
          critique of Sweezy ), and demonstrate how the work of Sweezy, Frank and Wallerstein -
          brilliantly summarized and analysed by him - are doomed to negate the model put forward
          first by Adam Smith in The Wealth of Nations , Book 1, but 
             because they have failed...to
          discard the underlying individualistic - mechanist presuppositions of this model, they
          have ended up by erecting an alternative theory of capitalist development which is, in its
          central aspects, the mirror image of the 'progressist' thesis they wish to surpass. thus,
          very much like those they criticize, they conceive of (changing) class relations as
          emerging more or less directly from the (changing) requirements for the generation of
          surplus and development of production, under the pressures and opportunities engendered by
          a growing world market. Only, whereas their opponents tend to see such market-determined
          processes [the development of trade and the division of labour], as setting off,
          automatically, a dynamic of economic development, they see them as enforcing the rise of
          economic backwardness. As result, they fail to take into account either the way in which
          class structures, once established, will in fact determine the course of economic
          development or underdevelopment over an entire epoch, or the way in which these class
          structures themselves emerge: as the outcome | 
         
       
      
        
            of class struggles whose results are incomprehensible in terms merely of
          market forces (Brenner, 1977, p.27). 
            Thus the way in which Frank uses the concept 'development' and
          'underdevelopment' seems incorrect from a Marxist point of view; furthermore, they do not
          seem useful for demonstrating what Frank attempts to demonstrate. But as this critique can
          also be applied to other authors who adopt the same approach I shall reserve discussion on
          this point to page 903. 
            To summarize, Frank's direct contribution to our understanding of the process
          of Latin American development is largely limited to his critique of dualist models for
          Latin America.(42) Nevertheless, his indirect contribution is considerable. By this I mean that his
          work has inspircd a significant quantity of research by others ( whether to support or
          rebut his arguments), in their respective disciplines, particularly in the sociology of
          development. 
             The central line of Frank's thought regarding the 'development of
          underdevelopment' is continued, though from a critical point of view, by the Brazilian
          sociologist Theotonio dos Santos,(43) for whom 
             the process under
          consideration [Latin American development] rather than being one of satellization as Frank
          believes, is a case of the formation of a certain type of internal structures conditioned
          by international relationships of dependence (1969, p. 80). 
           Dos Santos distinguishes different types of relations of dependency (essentially
          colonial, industrial-financial and industrial-technological, the latter having grown up
          since the Second World War), and consequently distinguishes different kinds of internal
          structures generated by them. Dos Santos emphasizes the differences and discontinuities
          between the different types of dependency and between the internal structures which result
          from them, while Frank himself stresses the continuity and similarity of dependency
          relations in a capitalist context. In other words, while Frank wishes to emphasize the
          similarities between economic structures in the times of Cortez, Pizarro, Clive and
          Rhodes, and betwecn those and the structures typified by the activity of multinational
          corporations, Dos Santos is more concerned with the differences and discontinuities
          between them. 
              There is within Dos Santos's analysis the beginnings of an
          interesting attempt to break with the concept of a mechanical determination of internal by
          external structures which dominated the traditional analysis of the left in Latin America,
          and which particularly charac- 
                                                
          901  | 
          terized Frank's work. One
          perceives initially in his analysis the perception not only that both structures are
          contradictory, but that movement is produced precisely through the dynamic of the
          contradictions between the two. Nevertheless, as he proceeds in the analysis he
          re-establishes, little by little, the priority of external over internal structures,
          separating almost metaphysically the two sides of the opposition -the internal and the
          external- and losing the notion of movement through the dynamic of the contradictions
          between these structures. The analysis which begins to emerge is again one typified by
          'antecedent causation and inert consequences'. The culmination of his process is his
          well-known formal definition  of  dependency, which because of its formal
          nature is both static and unhistorical: it is found in his 1970 article in the American
          Economic Review: 
             Dependence is a conditioning
          situation in which the economies of one group of countries are conditioned by the
          development and expansion of others. A relationship of interdependence between two or more
          economies or between such economies and the world trading system becomes a dependent
          relationship when some countries can expand through self-impulsion while others, being in
          a dependent position, can only expand as a reflection of the dominant countries, which may
          have positive or negative effects on their immediate development (1970, pp. 289-290). 
            A further anlysis along the same lines of Frank's 'accumulation of
          backwardness' and the 'development of underdevelopment' is that of Rui Mauro Marini (
          1972b). His work, which is fundamentally an attempt to develop a far more sophisticated
          model than that of Frank or Dos Santos, can be summarized as primarily an attempt to apply
          Luxemburg's schema (1913) to the Latin American situation.(44) 
            Finally, Caputo and Pizarro, starting from the same declaration of principles
          that 'it is impossible to develop our countries within the capitalist system' ( 1974, p.
          51 ), attempt to analyse the international economic relations of Latin America within the
          context of the theory of dependency. While their work contains an interesting critique of
          the orthodox theory of international trade, and a very full summary of the classical
          theory of imperialism, they do not integrate their analysis of the international economic
          relations of Latin America, discussed in the second chapter of their book, with their
          analysis of the contemporary world capitalist system, which they leave until the last
          chapter. Although they stress there the recognized fact that 'after 1950...the new
          orientation of  | 
         
       
      
        
          North American investment ...is directed
          basically towards the manufacturing sector' ( 1974, p. 256), they do not even suggest the
          possibility that such a process could produce in some countries at least a process of
          dependent capitalist development. The only aspect of this process which they feel able to
          emphasize is that such investment is 'profoundly destabilizing for national economies'
              ( 1974, p. 258), as if the development of modern industry with or
          without foreign capital was not always destabilizing in economies which still have
          important traditional manufacturing sectors. 
             At CEREN meanwhile, Hinkelammert ( 1970 a,b,c) was making an interesting
          attempt to connect the economic structure of the dependent countries with their class
          structure, and to analyse the way in which the alliance between the traditional dominant
          elites and imperialism develops. However, he also falls into the 'stagnationist trap' and
          develops his thesis of the dynamic stagnation (sic) of Latin American economics.(45) Even so, in his analysis of the
          dependent economies he treats creatively the role of the 'technological gap' in the
          relationship between these and the advanced countries in the system. . 
            This type of approach has inspired an unending stream of works, mostly
          theoretical;(46)
          the most thorough-going critiques of this type of  'theory of underdevelopment', in
          addition to that of  Laclau already discussed, have come from Cardoso (1974), Lall
          (1975) and Weisskopf ( 1976 ). I myself am presently engaged upon a further contribution
          to this critical effort, which should be completed shortly. 
             Lall (1975) offers an interesting critique of a number of dependency
          studies.(47) He
          argues that the characteristics to which underdevelopment in dependent countries is
          generally attributed are not exclusive to these economies, but are also found in so-called
            'non-dependent' economies, and that therefore they are properly speaking
          characteristics of capitalist development in general and not necessarily only of dependent
          capitalism. He further argues that such analyses are not surprisingly unable to show
          causal relationships between these characteristics and underdevelopment. 
            Lall argues that any concept of dependency which claims to be a theory of
          underdevelopment should satisfy two criteria: 
            (i) it must lay down certain
          characteristics of dependent economies which are not found in non-dependent ones; 
            (ii) these characteristics must be shown to affect adversely the course and
          pattern of development of  the dependent countries (1975, p. 800).  
                                                
          902 | 
             If crucial
          features of 'dependence' can be found in both dependent and 'non-dependent' economies, the
          whole conceptual schema is defective. And if it does not satisfy the second criterion,
          that is, if particular features of dependency cannot be demonstrated to be causally
          related to underdevelopment, we would be faced not with a  'theory of Latin American
          underdevelopment'  but simply with a catalogue of social, political, economic and
          cultural indicators, which will not help us to understand the dynamic of underdevelopment
          in Latin America. 
             Lall goes on to analyse the principal characteristics commonly
          associated with dependent economies and concludes that it appears that the technique is 
             to pick off some salient
          features of modern capitalism as it affects some less developed countries and put them
          into a distinct category of dependence (1975, p. 806). 
             He goes on to consider the possibility that the characteristics
          associated with the dependent economies could have a particular cumulative effect when
          occurring together, but finds no conclusive evidence. He concludes then that such a
          concept of dependency applied 
             to less developed countries
          is impossible to define and cannot be shown to be causally related to a continuance of
          underdevelopment (1975, p. 808). 
          It is not surprising then that 
            one sometimes gets the impression
          on reading the literature that 'dependence' is defined in a circular manner: less
          developed countries are poor because they are dependent, and any characteristics that they
          display signify dependence (1975, p. 800). 
            Thomas Weisskopf ( 1976) takes Lall's analysis as a starting-point and
          provides empirical data to substantiate it(48). He shows that in terms of general economic growth many 'dependent' countries
          grow more rapidly than 'non-dependent' countries, and that this is particularly true as
          regards industrial growth. He therefore finds no empirical support for the 'dependency'
          theses of stagnation. He concludes 
            my main point is that these aspects
          of underdevelopment [those which some attribute to dependency] cannot simply be attributed
          to dependency per se, for they are inherent in the operation of the capitalist mode
          of production whether or not it takes a dependent form. It is more appropriate to view
          dependence as aggravating conditions of underdevelopment that are inevitable under
          capitalism than to view dependence as a major cause of underdevelopment (1976, p. 21). 
          The most systematic critique is that of Cardoso. who argues that these 'theories' are  | 
         
       
      
        
          based on five interconnected erroneous
          theses concerning capitalist development in Latin America. These are: 
            (i) that capitalist development in
          Latin America is impossible, 
            (ii) that dependent capitalism is based on the extensive exploitation of
          labour and tied to the necessity of underpaying labour, 
            (iii) that local bourgeoisies no longer exist as an active social force, 
            (iv) that penetration by multinational firms leads local states to pursue an
          expansionist policy that is typically 'sub-imperialist', and 
          (v) that the political path of the sub-continent is at the crossroads, with the only
          conceivable options being socialism or fascism. 
             After rejecting one by one these erroneous theses upon which this line
          of analysis of dependency is based, and showing that they have been developed in order to
          support one another, Cardoso argues that in the case of Brazil the writers in question
          have in fact identified some of the conditions which give capitalist development
          its specificity. He shows, in his own words that some 'pieces of the puzzle are the
          same, but the way they go together. ..is different' ( 1973, p. 21 ). 
             For my part (see Palma, forthcoming), I would argue, following Cardoso's
          analysis, that these theories of dependency I have been examining are mistaken not only
          because they do not 'fit the facts', but also -and more importantly- because their
          mechanico-formal nature renders them both static and unhistorical. 
             The central nucleus around which the analysis of these dependency
          writers is organized is that capitalism, in a context of dependency, loses its historical
          progressive character, and can only generate underdevelopment. In this respect, I would
          argue that though it is not difficult to see that the specific forms of development
          adopted by capitalism in dependent countries are different from those of advanced
          countries (this development is marked by a series of specific economic , political and
          social contradictions -many of which have been correctly identified by these writers- and
          these contradictions appear to have become sharper with the passage of time), to leap from
          that assertion to the claim that for that reason capitalism has lost, or never even had, a
          historically progressive role in Latin America, is to take a leap into the dark. We need
          only recall Lenin's critique of the Narodniks  (see pp. 892-893),  their
          contemporaries are equally 'wrong in their facts'; for example, in my own analysis of the
          Chilean case (which  
                                                
          903 | 
          covers the period from 1910 to
          1970) I have shown that Lenin's criteria for assessing the progressiveness of capitalism
          -increase in the productive forces of social labour and in the socialization of that
          labour- were both met during the period under study. 
            Now, if the argument is that such processes have been manifested differently
          than in other capitalist countries, particularly those of the centre, or in diverse ways
          in the different branches of the Chilean economy, or that they have generated inequality
          at regional levels and in the distribution of income, have been accompanied by such
          phenomena as underemployment and unemployment, and have benefited the elite almost
          exclusively, or again that they have taken on a cyclical nature, then it does no more than
          affirm that the development of capitalism in Latin America, as everywhere else and at all
          times, has been characterized by its contradictory and exploitative nature. The
          specificity of capitalist development in Latin America stems precisely from the particular
          ways in which these contradictions have been manifested, and  the different ways in
          which many Latin American countries have faced and  temporarily overcome them, the
          way in which  this process has created further contradictions, and so on. It is
          through this process that the specific dynamic of capitalist development in
          different Latin American countries has been generated. In  this connection we should
          recall that the whole of  Lenin's analysis of  the development of capitalism in
          Russia was a detailed study of the specific ways in which capitalism there temporarily
          overcame its contradictions, and that he criticized the Narodniks for transforming
          those contradictions into a proof  that capitalism was impossible in Russia, and
            for failing to understand that the same contradictions  were  the very
          ones which were basic to capitalist development, and  which took specific forms in
          Russia. 
             In this context, I would also argue that the form in which the concepts
          'capitalist development' and 'capitalist underdevelopment' are used by these dependency
          writers does not seem adequate. (I now take up the point discussed on p. 901.) 
              Capitalist development is essentially a process of capital
          accumulation which produces as it evolves modifications in the composition of  the
          productive forces, in resource allocation, in class relations, and in the character of the
          state; that is, which produces as it evolves modifications in the different structures of
          society. Whether the cyclical nature of capital accumulation or the modifications and
          contradictions   | 
         
       
      
        
          which. this accumulation produces are or
          are not 'desirable' or 'optimal' is another question entirely. 
            To deny, as the 'contemporary Narodniks' do, that capitalist development is
          taking place in some countries in Latin America and in some parts of the rest of the
          periphery is no less than absurd. To recognize it on the other hand, as Lenin told the
          Narodniks, is quite compatible with the full recognition of the negative side of
          capitalism, and in no way an apology for it. 
            My personal judgement is that in their completely justifiable eagerness to
          denounce the negative side of capitalist development -its enormous social cost- to the
          analysis of which they have made significant contributions, they, like the Narodniks, have
          been unable to see the specifity of its historical progressiveness in Latin America. They
          have therefore thrown out the baby with the bath water. 
            The place which should have been occupied in their analyses by the study of
          this specificity of capitalist development in Latin America has unfortunately been
          occupied by easy but misleading concepts such as 'active development of
          ultra-underdevelopment', 'sub-imperialism', and 'lumpen-bourgeoisie'. Furthermore, they
          have disregarded the cyclical nature of capitalist accumulation, and to demonstrate their
          thesis of 'stagnation' they have taken empirical evidence mainly from the period from the
          mid-1950s to the mid-1960s, one of recession not only in Latin America but also in the
          whole of the periphery, and projected it as if it were a permanent characteristic of
          capitalism; that is, they treat a conjunctural phenomenon as if it were a permanent
          feature.(49) 
            The crucial point is that these errors of analysis have not only disfigured an
          important part of the production of social scientists in Latin America, but have also led
          to a great deal of distorted political analysis, along the lines that the local
          bourgeoisie no longer exists as an active social force, but has become 'lumpen', incapable
          of rational accumulation and rational political activity, dilapidated by its consumerism,
          and blind to its 'real' interest, and that as there is no possibility of capitalist
          development in Latin America the sub-continent is necessarily at the crossroads, forced to
          choose between an immediate socialist revolution or a permanent state of capitalist
          underdevelopment.(50) 
               Reading their political analysis one gets the impression
          that the whole problem around which the question of what course the revolution should take
          in Latin America revolves is that of whether or not capitalist development is  
                                                   
          904 | 
          viable there. In other words
          it seems that they deduce that if one accepts that capitalist development is feasible on
          its own terms one is automatically bound to adopt the political strategy of awaiting
          and/or facilitating such development until its full productive powers have been exhausted,
          and only then to seek to move towards socialism. As it is pecisely this option which these
          writers wish to reject (as for them the revolution must take on an immediately socialist
          character), and as they seem to believe that they would be forced to adopt it if they
          accepted the possiliility of any kind of capitalist development, they have been obliged to
          make a forced march back towards a purely and simplistically ideological position, and to
          make every analytical effort to deny dogmatically any possibility of capitalist
          development. 
             In my judgementnt this option is a false one. To take only one example,
          we may recall Marx's position regarding the development of capitalism in Russia. The
          viability of capitalism there did not precluded an immediate move towards socialism, for
          viability did not in itself imply necessity, any more than the mere existence of
          necessity, in any situation, implies viability. 
             Without wishing to undertake a prolonged analysis, I should like to
          suggest that the choice facing Latin America today regarding the character which the
          revolutionary struggle should adopt is much more complicated than the simplistic and
          apocalyptic 'now or never', 'all or nothing' approach of some dependency writers. It is
          precisely this retreat to a purely and simplistically ideological position, necessary if
          they were to deny thc possibility of capitalist development and thus force the conclusion
          that the struggle should take on an immediately socialist nature, which has caused these
          analyses, despite the important contributions they have made to some aspcets of the Latin
          American social sciences, to fail in their attempt to establish a new paradigm.(51) 
              If one agrees with Cardoso (1976, p. 1) that the standard that one
          has to use to assess the analytical adequacy, the interpretative and predictive capacity
          and the creative strength of new explanatory schema in the social sciences is the
          sensitivity with which they detect new social processes and the precision with which they
          are able to explain mechanisms of social reproduction and modes of social transformation,
          one should agree that the dependency analyses which have attempted to construct a formal
          theory of Latin American underdevelopment are of relatively low standard; they have been
          unable to meet these requirements  | 
         
       
      
        
          in their study of the economic development
          and political domination of Latin America. 
            To use their own language, by transforming dependency into a mechanico-formal
          theory of Latin American underdevelopment -thus losing the richness that a dialectical
          analysis would provide- these writers have underdeveloped the theory of dependency. 
           
          (i) Empirical work related to this
          approach to dependency 
           
            The attempt to transform dependency into a 'theory of  Latin American
          underdevelopment', and in some cases even into a theory of underdevelopment in the whole
          of the periphery, was bound to succumb to the temptation to elaborate a corpus of formal
          and testable propositions which could by themselves explain the 'laws of motion of
          dependent capitalist underdevelopment'. Similarly, the attempt to construct a theory of
          this nature was bound to appear a seductive challenge for the part of the North American
          academic world which is ever anxious to consume unidimensional hypotheses referring to
          clearly established variables. While some are concerned to contribute to making the theory
          of underdevelopment consistent and operational, and therefore seek to identify as clearly
          as possible a set of empirically testable hypotheses, with the aid of which they could
          construct a continuum running from 'dependence' to 'independence', others wish to
          demonstrate that this 'theory' has no 'scientific status', as it has not constructed to
          date a model whose hypotheses pass the various tests of significance. As Cardoso has said 
             instead of making a
          dialectical analysis of historical processes and of conceiving them as the result of
          struggle between classes and groups that define their interest and values in the process
          of the expansion of a mode of production, history is formalized and...the ambiguity, the
          contradictions and the disjunctions of the real are reduced to 'operational dimensions',
          which are by definition uniform but static (1976b, p. 15). 
           If one accepts (as I do) that the basic feature of the dependency analyses is their
          conception of the dynamic of the societies in question in terms of the specific form of
          their articulation into the world economy, then the mixing of data from different
          situations of dependency can be at most of secondary interest, if not of mere curiosity
          value; it can neither validate nor invalidate statements which should be presented as
          characteristic of specificsituations of dependency. 
                                                   
          905  | 
            This critique is
          by no means directed at the use of quantitative methods in the social sciences (after all,
          many studies which have attempted to make analyses of concrete situations of dependency,
          including my own, contain detailed quantitative work). The problem is not whether or not
          to measure; it is that, despite the horror that it provokes among logical positivists,
          there are fundamental differences between methodology in the social and the natural
          sciences. The differences are not only quantitative (e.g., minutes of computer time per
          printed page), but qualitative, concerning 
             what and how to measure as
          well as the methodological status of measuring (Cardoso and Faletto. 1977, p.7). 
          For these reasons the criticism of these quantitative studies is not that they are
          quantitative, but that they have fallen into the same trap as the dependency writers that
          I have discussed so far, that of understanding dependency as a formal concept that can be
          made uniform and reduced to operational dimensions. 
             Undoubtedly the most sophisticated empirical study of this kind
          published so far is that of Chase-Dunn (1975). It is an attempt to test the effects of
          'dependency' on economic development and income inequality. Chase-Dunn uses 'investment
          dependency' and 'debt dependency' as measures of a country's dependent position, and finds
          strong support for the hypothesis that investment dependency inhibits economic
          development, but less support for the hypothesis that debt dependency does the same. He
          also finds support for the hypothesis that dependency is related to income inequalities,
          although he finds that the relationship is insufficiently statistically significant. He
          concludes that theories of dependency predict the effects of inputs from advanced nations
          to less developed ones better than neo-classical theories of international economy, or
          sociological theories of modernization. 
             A different attempt to test the theory is Kaufman el al ( 1975).
          The authors test several propositions from the literature of dependency, and find that
          some results show some support while others furnish negative evidence; therefore, they
          conclude, the study 
             permits no definitive conclusions to be drawn about dependency theory one
          way or the other (1975, p. 329). 
             Pockenham (1976) attempts to study the Brazilian situation in terms of
          degrees of independence (sic), while Tyler and Wogart  | 
         
       
      
        
          ( 1973 ) inquire into Sunkel's hypothesis
          that increasing international integration leads to greater national disintegration in the
          less developed countries, and conclude that 'there is insufficient evidence to reject it'
          ( 1973, p. 42). 
               Schmitter (1971, 1974) rejects the proposition that
          dependency is the cause of all the ills of Latin America, but accepts that the theory of
          dependency has contributed a basis for a more subtle, differentiated and empirically test-
          able theory. Finally, McGowan and Smith (1976) test the relevance of the theory of
          dependency for black Africa, and conclude that a modified conventional model would be more
          appropriate. 
               To summarize these essays in their own terms, if we plotted
          the findings of this group of empirical studies of the 'theory of dependency' we should
          obtain a curve whose mean would be that the theory is relatively acceptable, whose median
          would be the use of data drawn from a mix of different situations of dependency, and whose
          interval in respect of the mean in terms of standard deviation would go from those who
          affirm that there is insufficient evidence to accept the theory to those who affirm that
          there is not enough to reject it. Finally, the range of the curve would run from those who
          on the basis of empirical evidence would accept the theory unhesitatingly to those who
          would reject it out of hand. 
           
          b. Dependency as a reformulation of the
          ECLA analysis of Latin American development 
           
               Towards the middle of the 1960s the ECLA analyses were
          overtaken by a gradual decline, in which many factors intervened. The statistics relating
          to Latin American development in the period after thc Korean War presented a gloomy
          picture (see Booth, 1975, pp. 62-64) which was interpreted in different ways as indicating
          the failure of thc policies ECLA had been proposing since its foundation. Furthermore, the
          first attempts to introduce into the traditional ECLA analysis a number of 'social
          aspects' (Prebisch, 1963), far from strengthening the analysis, revealed its fragility
          (see Cardoso, 1977, p. 32). 
              One of the results of the relative decline in the influence of
          ECLA's analyses was the emergence of an attempt to reformulate its thought. Before this
          can be discussed, a brief review of the ECLA analyses themselves will be necessary.(52) 
              ECLA itself attempted to reformulate the 
                                                
          906  | 
          conventional theory of
          economic development, just as Keynesianism had set out to do with the central body of
          conventional economic theory.(53) Baran (1957, p. 24) summarizes Keynes's contribution as demonstrating that
          strong tendencies towards instability, economic stagnation and chronic under-utilization
          of resources, both human and material, are intrinsic to the market economy. For Keynes
          these are only 'tendencies', for he always stresses that they can be managed if the
          adequate counter-acting measures are taken. That is, if individual and anonymous decisions
          tend to produce a series of disequilibria (with consequences as serious as the depression
          of the 1930s), they can be avoided by the collective decisions of individuals through the
          state (Keynes, 1932, p. 318). In this way Keynes was opposed not only to the conception of
          the 'harmony of unregulated classical liberal capitalism', but also to the traditional
          Marxist view that the growing and cumulative contradictions of capitalism would
          necessarily become unmanageable in the end. The Keynesian tradition did not only emphasize
          the need for corrective state intervention in the economy, but also introduced into
          conventional economic analysis a series of variables previously considered 'exogenous' or
          'irrational', such as income distribution, the interests of individuals, groups and
          nations, and market imperfections.(54) 
             That the ECLA analyses should have drawn their inspiration from
          Keynesianism in no way denies their originality; this lay in the way in which they applied
          the Keynesian analysis to the Latin American situation, and to the theory of economic
          development, to which the Keynesian tradition had hitherto paid little attention. The ECLA
          analysts produced the first major Latin American contribution to the social sciences, and
          furthermore went beyond the merely theoretical level to make concrete policy proposals on
          the basis of their theoretical work. 
             The nucleus of the ECLA analysis was the critique of the conventional
          theory of international trade (as expressed in the Hecksher - Ohlin - Samuelson(55) model of Ricardo's theory of
          international trade); it aimed to show that the international division of labour which
          conventional theory claimed was 'naturally' produced by world trade was of much greater
          benefit to the centre (where manufacturing production is concentrated) than to the
          periphery ( which was destined to produce primary products, be they agricultural or
          mineral). There were according to ECLA two reasons for this: first, that factor and
          commodity markets  | 
         
       
      
        
          were more oligopolistic at the centre than
          in the periphery, and that therefore the benefits of trade were unequally distributed,
          leading to a long-term decline in the terms of trade for the periphery; and second, that
          as those writers who laid considerable emphasis upon the role of 'externalities'(56) suggested, there were a number
          of benefits associated with industrial production itself. That is, an international
          division of labour which concentrated industrial production at the centre and inhibited it
          in the periphery not only worked against the latter through its effect on the long-term
          trend in the terms of trade, but also because of the loss of a series of benefits proper
          to a process of industrialization.(57) 
          In other words, to achieve accelerated and sustained economic growth in Latin America a
          necessary condition (and, some ECLA writings seemed to suggest, a sufficient one) was the
          development of a process of industrialization. But this process of industrialization could
          not be expected to take place spontaneously, for it would be inhibited by the
          international division of labour which the centre would attempt to impose, and by a series
          of structural obstacles internal to the Latin American economies. Consequently, a scries
          of measures were proposed, intended to promote a process of deliberate or 'forced'
          industrialization; they included state intervention in the economy both in the formulation
          of economic policies oriented towards these ends and as a direct productive agent. Among
          the economic policies suggested were those of 'healthy protectionism', exchange controls,
          the attraction of foreign investmcnt into Latin American industry, the stimulation and
          orientation of national invest- ment, and the adoption of wage policies aimed at boosting
          effective demand. The intervention of the State in directly productive activity was
          recommended in those areas where large amounts of slow-maturing investment were needed,
          and particularly where this need coincided with the production of essential goods or
          services.(58) 
          It is not particularly surprising that ECLA should have attracted its share of criticism,
          particularly as it went beyond theoretical pronouncements to offer packages of policy
          recommendations. It was criticized from sectors of the left for failing tu denounce
          sufficiently the mechanisms of exploitation within the capitalist system, and for
          criticizing the conventional theory of international trade only from 'within' (see for
          example Frank, 1967, and Caputo and Pizarro, 1974). On the other hand, from the liberal
          right the reaction was im- 
                                                        
          907  | 
          mediate and at times
          ferocious; ECLA's policy recommendations were totally heretical from the point of view of
          conventional theory, and threatened the political interests of significant sectors. A
          leading critic in academic circles was Haberler ( 1957 ), who accused ECLA of failing to
          take due account of economic cycles, and argued that single factorial terms of trade would
          be a better indicator than the simple relationship between the prices of exports and
          imports, 
            On the political front, the liberal right accused ECLA of being the 'Trojan
          horse of Marxism', on the strength of the degree of coincidence between both analyses.
          Without doubt there was a significant degree of coincidence -both ideological and
          analytical - between the thought of ECLA and the post-1920 Marxist view of the obstacles
          facing capitalist development in the periphery, despite the fact that the language that
          they used and the premises from which they started were different. As I have shown, the
          central line of Marxist thought after 1920 argued that capitalist development in Latin
          America was necessary, but hindered by the 'feudal-imperialist' alliance; thus the
          anti-imperialist and 'anti-feudal' struggle had become at the same time a struggle for
          industrialization, with the state and the 'national bourgeoisie' depicted as potential
          historical agents in this necessary capitalist development. In the case of ECLA, as with
          the Marxists, the principle obstacle to development (ECLA chose to speak of the 'principal
          obstacle' rather than the 'principal enemy') was located overseas, and ECLA shared with
          the Marxists the conviction that without a strenuous effort to remove the internal
          obstacles to development (the traditional sectors) the process of industrialization would
          be greatly impeded.(59) 
              Furthermore, the coincidence between crucial elements in the
          analysis of the two respective lines of thought is made more evident by the fact that the
          processes of reformulation in each occurred simultaneously Thus when it became
          evident that capitalist development in Latin America was taking a path different from that
          expected, a number of ECLA members began a process of reformulation of the traditional
          thought of that institution, just at the time that an important sector of the Latin
          American left was breaking with the traditional Marxist view that capitalist development
          was both necessary and possible in Latin America, but hindered by the 'feudal imperialist'
          alliance. Not only did the different processes of reformulation take place at the same
          time, but  | 
         
       
      
        
          despite the apparently growing divergencies
          (particularly seen in the vocabulary adopted), they had one extremely important element in
          common: pessimism regarding the possibility of capitalist development. 
          As regards the attempt to reformulate the thought of ECLA, it was undoubtedly the sombre
          picture presented by their own statistics on Latin America (ECLA, 1963) which wrought thc
          effect which the Cuban revolution had had on thinking within the other group. In the
          terminology of Kuhn (1962, 1972) they sought to change their paradigm. The process of
          import-substituting industrialization which ECLA recommended seemed to aggravate
          balance-of-payments problems, instead of alleviating them; foreign investment was not only
          in part responsible for that (as after a certain period of time there was a net flow of
          capital away from the sub-continent),(60) but it did not seem to be having other positive effects that ECLA had expected;
          real wages were not rising sufficiently quickly to produce the desired increase in
          effective demand -indecd, in several countries income distribution was worsening; the
          problems of unemployment were also growing more acute, in particular as a rcsult of rural
          - urban migration: industrial production was becoming increasingly concentrated in
          products typically consumed by the elites, and was not having the 'ripple effect' upon
          other productive sectors of the economy, particularly the agricultural sector. 
          The bleak panorama of capitalist deve1opment in Latin America led to changes in the
          'pre-theoretical entity' (to return to the language of Kuhn) in ECLA thinkers, but it
          strengthened the convictions of the dependency writers I reviewed earlier.(61) The former were faced with the
          problem of trying to discover why some of the expected consequences of industrialization
          on the course of development were not being produced, the latter denied with greater
          vehemence the least possibility of dependent capitalist development. 
             The pessimism with regard to the possibilities of capitalist development
          in Latin America which was the keynote of the works written by both groups during this
          period was in each case accompanied by the same error: the failure to take duly into
          account the cyclical pattern characteristic of capitalist development. 
          The irony was that while both groups were busy writing and publishing different versions
          of stagnationist theories (the most sophisticated perhaps being Furtado, 1966),
          international trade was picking up, the terms of trade were changing in favour of Latin
          American exporters 
                                                  
          908  | 
          of agricultural and mineral
          products, and some countries were able to take advantage of the favourable situation and
          accelerate rapidly the rythm of their economic development. Thus, as Cardoso (1977, p. 33)
          remarks, 'history had prepared a trap for pessimists'. 
          Perhaps the other distinctive aspect of this line of Latin American thought was that it
          made a basically ethical distinction between 'economic growth' and 'economic
          development'. According to this, development did not take place when growth was
          accompanied by: 
          (i) increased inequality in the distribution of
          its benefits; 
          (ii) a failure to increase social welfare, in so far as expenditure went to unproductive
          areas -or even worse to military spending - or the production of unnecessarily refined
          luxury consumer durables; 
          (iii) the failure to create employment opportunities at the rate of the growth in
          population, let alone in urbanization; and 
          (iv) a growing loss of national control over economic, political, social and cultural
          life. 
          By making the distinction in these terms, their research developed along two separate
          lines, one concerned with the obstacles to growth (and in particular to industrial
          growth), the other concerned with the perverse character taken by development. The
          fragility of such a formulation consists in its confusing a socialist critique of
          capitalism with the analysis of the obstacles of capitalism in Latin America. For a review
          of these issues see Faria ( 1976, pp. 37-49).(62) 
          But if the attempt at reformulation which followed the crisis in the ECLA school of
          thought did not succeed in grasping the transformations which were occurring at that
          moment in time in the world capitalist system,(63) it did in time produce together with the abandonment of stagnationist theories,
          a movement towards a more structural-historical analysis of Latin America.(64) The first substantial critique
          of stagnationist theories came from Tavares and Serra ( 1970), Pinto ( 1965, 1974) in his
          turn, less seduced throughout by those theories, discussed the concept of structural
          heterogeneity, and the process of  'marginalization of the periphery' (Pinto and
          Knakel, 1973). Vuscovich (1970) studied the 'concentrated and exclusive' character
          of  Latin American development, and later ( 1973) analysed the way in which the
          economic policy of the Unidad Popular government had to adjust itself to the constraints,
          both political and economic, facing Chile at that moment in time.(65) Sunkel ( 1973a ; Sunkel and Paz,
          1970)  | 
         
       
      
        
          studied the relationship between internal
          economic problems and the world capitalist system, in an attempt to show that development
          and underdevelopment were two sides of the same coin. His most significant contribution is
          his analysis of the process by which international integration leads to greater national
          disintegration in the less developed countries; this work was complemented by analyses of
          the effects of multinational corporations in Latin America ( 1972, 1973b, 1974). He later
          went on to write with Cariola a revealing analysis of the relationship between the
          expansion of nitrate exports and socio-economic transformations in Chile between 1860 and
          1930 ( 1976), and the effects which this had on class formation in Chile ( 1977). 
           
          c. A methodology for the analysis of
          concrete situations of dependency 
           
             In my critique of the dependency studies reviewed so far I have
          already advanced the fundamental elements of what I understand to be the third of the
          three approaches within the dependency school. It is primarily related to the work of the
          Brazilian sociologist Fernando Henrique Cardoso, dating from the completion in 1967 of Dependencia
          y Desarrollo en America Latina, written with the Chilean historian Enzo Faletto. 
              Briefly, this third approach to the analysis of dependency can be
          expressed as follows: 
              (i) In common with the two approaches discussed already, this
          third approach sees the Latin American economies as an integral part of the world
          capitalist system, in a context of increasing internationalization of the system as a
          whole; it also argues that the central dynamic of that system lies outside the peri-
          pheral economics and that therefore the options which lie open to them are limited by the
          development of the system at the centre; in this way the particular is in some way
          conditioned by the general. Therefore a basic element for the understanding of these
          societies is given by the 'general determinants' of the world capitalist system, which is
          itself changing through time; the analysis therefore requires primarily an
          understanding of  the contemporary characteristics of  the world capitalist
          system. However, the theory of imperialism, which was originally developed to provide
          an understanding of that system, had remained practically 'frozen' where it was at the
          time of the death of Lenin until the end of the 1950s. During this period, capitalism
          underwent significant and  
                                                     909 | 
          decisive stages of development
          and the theory failed to keep up with them. The depression of the 1930s, the Second World
          War, the emergence of the United States as the undisputed hegemonic power in the
          capitalist world, the challenge of the growing socialist bloc, and its attendant creation
          of new demands on the capitalist world if its system were to be maintained, the
          decolonization of Africa and Asia, and the beginning of  the process of the
          transnationalization of capitalism had all contributed to create a world very different
          from that which had confronted  Lenin. As the theory of imperialism once again began
          to place itself at the centre of Marxist analysis this failure to make any theoretical
          advance began to make itself  felt; the transformations which had occurred and which
          continued to occur were slowly if at all incorporated into its analysis. Contributions as
          important as those of Gramsci(66) and Kalecki have remained almost unintegrated until very recently.(67) 
            One characteristic of the third approach to dependency, and one which has been
          widely recognized, has been to incorporate more successfully into its analysis of  
          Latin American development the transformations which are occurring and have occurred in
          the world capitalist system, and in particular the changes which became significant
          towards the end of the 1950s in the rhythm and the form of capital movement, and in the
          international division of labour. The emergence of the so-called multinational
          corporations progressively transformed centre-periphery relationships, and relationships
          between the countries of the centre. As foreign capital has increasingly been directed
          towards manufacturing industry in the periphery.(68) the struggle for industrialization, which has previously seen as an
          anti-imperialist struggle, has become increasingly the goal of foreign capital.
          Thus dependency and industrialization cease to be contradictory, and a path of 
          'dependent development' becomes possible.(69) 
             (ii) Furthermore, the third approach not only accepts as a
          starting-point and improves upon the analysis of the location of the economies of Latin
          America in the world capitalist system, but also accepts and enriches their demonstration
          that Latin American societies are structured through unequal and antagonistic patterns of
          social organization, showing the social asymmetries and the exploitative character of
          social organization which arise from its socio-economic base, giving considerable
          importance to the effect of the diversity of natural resources, geographic loca- 
           | 
         
       
      
        
          tion, and so on of each economy, thus
          extending the analysis of the 'internal determinants' of the development of the Latin
          American economies. 
             (iii) But while these improvements are important, the most significant
          feature of this approach is that it goes beyond these points, and insists that from the
          premises so far outlined one arrives only at a partial, abstract and indeterminate
          characterization of the Latin American historical process, which can only be overcome
          by understanding how the general and specific determinants interact in particular and
          concrete situations. It is only by understanding the specificity of movement in these
          societies as a dialectical unity of both, and a synthesis of these 'internal' and
          'external' factors, that one can explain the particularity of social, political and
          economic processes in the dependent societies. Only in this way can one explain why, for
          example, the single process of mercantile expansion should have produced in different
          Latin American societies slave labour, systems based on the exploitation of indigenous
          populations, and incipient forms of wage labour. 
            What is important is not simply to show that mercantile expansion was the
          basis of the transformation of the Latin American economies, and less to deduce
          mechanically that that process made them capitalist, but to avoid losing the specificity
          of history in a welter of vague abstract concepts by explaining how the mercantilist drive
          led to the creation of the phenomena mentioned, and to show how, throughout the history of
          Latin America, different sectors 
            of local classes allied or clashed
          with foreign interests, organized different forms of state, sustained distinct ideologies
          or tried to implement various policies or defined alternative strategies to cope with
          imperialist challenges in diverse moments of history (Cardoso and Faletto, 1977, p. 12) 
            The study of the dynamic of the dependent societies as the dialectical unity
          of internal and external factors implies that the conditioning effect of each in the
          movement of these societies can be separated only by making a static analysis. Equally, if
          the internal dynamic of the dependent society is a particular aspect of the general
          dynamic of the capitalist system, that does not imply that the latter produces concrete
          effects in the former, but finds concrete expression in them. 
            The system of 'external domination' reappears as an 'internal' phenomenon
          through the social practices of local groups and classes, who share its interests and
          values. Other inter- 
                                                  
          910  | 
          nal groups and forces oppose
          this domination and in the concrete development of these contradictions the specific
          dynamic of the society is generated. It is not a case of seeing one part of the world
          capitalist system as 'developing' and another as 'underdeveloping', or of seeing
          'imperialism and dependency as two sides of the same coin, with the underdeveloped or
          dependent world reduced to a passive role determined by the other, but in the words of
          Cardoso and Faletto, 
             We conceive the relationship
          between external and internal forces as forming a complex whole whose structural links are
          not based on mere external forms of exploitation and coercion, but are rooted in
          coincidences of interests between local domi- nant classes and international ones, and, on
          the other side, are challenged by local dominated groups and classes. In some
          circumstances, the networks of coincident or reconciliated interests might expand to
          include segments of the middle class, if not even of alienated parts of working classes.
          In other circumstances, segments of dominant classes might seek internal alliance with
          middle classes, working classes, and even peasants, aiming to protect themselves from
          foreign penetration that contradicts its interests (1977, pp. 10-11). 
             There are of course elements within thc capitalist system which affect
          all the Latin American economies, but it is precisely the diversity within this unity which
          characterizes historical processes. Thus the effort of analysis should be oriented
          towards the elaboration of concepts capable of explaining how the general trends in
          capitalist expansion are transfomed into specific relationships between men, classes and
          states, how these specific relations in turn react upon the general trends of the
          capitalist system, how internal and external processes of political domination reflect one
          another, both in their compatibilities and their contradictions, how the economies and
          polities of Latin America are articulated with those of the centre, and how their specific
          dynamics are thus generated. 
             Nevertheless, I do not mcan to support a naive expectation that a
          correct approach to the analysis of dependcncy would be capable of explaining everything;
          or that if it does not yet do so, it is necessarily due to the fact that the method
          was wrongly applied, or has not yet been developed enough. I do not have any illusions
          that our findings could explain every detail of our past history, or should be capable of
          predicting the exact course of future events, because I do not have any illusions that our
          findings can take out from history all its ambiguities, uncertainties, contradictions and  | 
         
       
      
        
          surprises. As it has done so often in the
          past, history will undoubtedly continue to astonish us with unexpected revelations -as
          unexpected as those that astonished Lenin in 1917 ( see page 894). 
            It is interesting to note that Cardoso's work on dependency was preceded by a
          series of concrete analyses of aspects of Brazilian history and contemporary sociology
          which fore-shadowed in many ways his later positions. Cammack ( 1977) argues that his
          analysis of slavery in southern Brazil ( Cardoso, 1960, 1962) provides an explicit
          characterization of the specific contradictions of subordinated development, although
          within the context of a single nation, and for a time at least under conditions of
          colonial rule. He states that 
             the characterization of
          capitalist development in a peripheral economy (the description given to the south of
          Brazil) stresses that it is dynamic, but that the process of capital accumulation is
          incomplete, and marked by contradictions not found in classical forms of capitalist
          development (Cammack, 1977, p.10). 
          Cammack thus shows how these early works provide the basis for a rejection of the stagna-
          tionist theses; he also demonstrates that there is in the discussion of the contradictory
          nature of slave labour an implicit rejection of the 'feudal' and 'super-exploitation of
          labour' theses concerning Latin American development. However, it was research conducted
          in the early 1960s into the political position of the 'national bourgeoisie' that
          convinced Cardoso that the class structure of Brazil was essentially different from that
          which had served as its implicit model, derived from classical Marxist analysis of the
          development of class relations in the advanced countries of Western Europe. 
             It is thus through concrete studies of specific situations, and in
          particular of class relations and class structure in Brazil that Cardoso formulates the
          essential aspects of the dependency analysis. As Cammack notes, Cardoso denies elsewhere,
          in 'Althusserismo o marxismo? A proposito del concepto de clases en Poulantzas' (in
          Cardoso, 1972b), a critic of Poulantzas (1972), that there are any 'general categories'
          within Marxism.(70) 
              In my view, some of the most successful analyses within the
          dependency schoo1 have been those which anallyse specific situations in concrete terms. A
          case in point is Chudnovsky (1974), who after analysing the effect of multinational
          corporations in Colombia, goes on to relate it to the theory of imperialism. For other
          successful attempts at concrete anallysis, one should consult the already mentioned 
                                                
          911  | 
          works of Laclau (1969), Pinto
          (1964, 1974), Cariola and Sunkel (1976, 1977), and Singer (1971). 
           
               4. BY WAY OF A
          CONCLUSION 
           
           Throughout this survey of dependency studies relating to Latin America(71) I have shown that there is no
          such thing as a single 'theory of dependency'; under the dependency label we find
          approaches so different that we may at best speak of a 'school of dependency'. The
          principal common element in these aproaches is the attempt to analyse Latin American
          societies through a 'comprehensive social science', which stresses the socio-political
          nature of the economic relations of production; in short, the approach is one of political
          economy, and thus an attempt to revive the 19th and early 20th century tradition in
          this respect. 
            From this perspective there is a critique of those who divide reality into
          dimensions analytica1ly independent of each other and of the economic structures of a
          given society, as if these elements were in reality separable. Thus the dependency school
          offers an important critique of such approaches as Rostow's 'stages of growth',
          'modern-traditiona1' sociological typologies, dualism, functionalism, and in general a1l
          those which do not integrate into their analysis an account of the socio-political context
          in which development takes place. 
            Nevertheless, as 1 have attempted to show, not a1l the approaches within the
          dependency school are successful in showing how these distinct spheres -social,
          economic and political- are related. 
            I have criticized those who fail to understand the specificity of the
          historical process of the penetration of capitalism into Latin America, and only condemn
          its negative aspects, complementing their analysis with a series of stagnationist theses,
          in an attempt to build a formal theory of underdevelopment. These are mistaken not only
          because they do not 'fit the facts', but because their mechanico - formal nature renders
          them both static and unhistorical. They have thus developed schemas unable to rxplain the
          specificity of economic development and political domination in Latin America; indeed
          their models lack the sensitivity to detect the social processes of  Latin America,
          and are unable to explain with precision the mechanisms of social reproduction and modes
          of social transformation of  these societies. This leads them to use vague and  | 
         
       
      
        
          imprecise concepts, as vague, and imprecise
          as those used at the other end of the political spectrum, as for example the 'Brazilian
          miracle'.(72) 
             I have also criticized those who fail to understand that capitalist
          development will necessarily take place on its own terms , 'warts and all', and who
          hope that it could produce a just distribution of income, wealth and power, 
             Finally, 1 have shown that we find in these analyses a methodology
          adequate for the study of concrete situations of dependency, from which concrete
          concepts and theories can be developed; and from which strategies of development can
          be set up in terms of specific situations of each society, with economic analysis placed
          within clear social and political coordinates. 
          Attention to the social and political context in which development takes place (or fails
          to take place) may avoid the investment of time and energy in the preparation of
          strategies which stand little chance of being properly put to the test.(73)  How can this be
          avoided?  Perhaps benefiting from the insights of the best work of the dependency
          school, re-uniting quantitative studies with historical structural analysis, thus ending
          the 'dialogue of the deaf'(74) and recognizing the truth, in its broadest sense, of a comment made by Dudley
          Seers ( 1963 ): 'Economics is the study of economies'. After all, development strategists
          have one thing at least in common with Marx -they want not only to understand reality, but
          also to transform it.(75)  
           
                    NOTES 
           
          1. Those who are
          already familiar with the basic tenets of  Marxism will excuse a brief and
          necessarily superficial digression here. 
          2. As for
          example the subjective or psychological elements discussed by Schumpeter (1919), such as
          the existence of a decadent military aristocracy, or an underemploycd middle class of thc
          supposedly mystical aims of a Catholic Empire. 
          3. It is for
          this reason that to accept and recognize this interaction between base and superstructurc
          does not lead to a circular explanation of human relations, nor to the deduction that
          these are the product of 'separable' factors among which the economic factor is the
          'determinant'. 
          4. A concrete
          expression of this fact is that so much emphasis is placed upon the creation of
          revolutionary consciousness and the importance of a vanguard party. 
                                                     
          912 | 
           
          5. For an
          analysis of Marx's discussion of the process of labour in general and the alienation of
          labour under capitalist relations of production in particular see Echeverria
          (forthcoming). 
          6. Marx himself
          recognizes the possibility of 'unequal relationships' between, for example, art and the
          development of material production at some stages of history. 
          7. For a
          discussion of Marx's scientific method see Sweezy, 1942; Meek, 1956; Ryan, 1972; Vygodski,
          1974; Carver, 1975; Howard and King, 1975. 
          8. For a further
          discussion of this, see Dobb, 1937; Robinson, 1942; Sweezy, 1942; Meek, 1956; Horowitz,
          1968; Mandel, 1970; Freedman, 1971; Howard and King, 1975. 
          9. Marx has
          generally been interpreted as predicting that the relative standard of living of the
          working class would tend to decline, in the sense that the percentage of the GNP accruing
          to the working class would tend to fall ( see for example McLellan, 1975, pp. 53-56). I
          would argue that when Marx analysed capitalism's need to separate the property of the
          means of production from the working class, he was especifically predicting their
          condemnation to 'absolute poverty', and not necessarily to a decline in their standard of
          living -either relative or absolute- or in his words, to 'absolute poverty';
          poverty not as shortage, but as total exclusion of objective wealth'(1859, p. 296). 
          10. For a
          classification of different Marxist and non-Marxist approaches to imperialism, see
          Fieldhouse, 1961. 
          11. Althusser,
          1967, distinguishes between a general theory, regional theories, and sub-regional
          theories; examples have been provided in Harnecker, 1969, pp. 227-231. 
          12. I am here
          closely following Sutcliffe, 1972b, p.320. 
          13. See for
          example Fernandez and Ocampo, 1974. 
          14. In this
          respect see Lenin, 1899, pp. 65-68; Dos Santos, 1968; Barrat-Brown, 1972, pp. 43-47;
          Sutcliffe, 1972a, pp. 180-185; Caputo and Pizarro, 1974, pp. 118-123. 
          15. This is due
          in part to the experience of the transition of socialism, and to the existence today of
          developed socialist economies which can provide what otherwise would have been obtained
          from capitalist developments. 
          16. For further
          discussions of the Asiatic mode of  | 
         
       
      
        
          production see Hobsbawm, 1964; Dos Santos,
          1968; Averini, 1968, 1976; D'Encausse and Schram, 1969; Batra,1971; Foster-Carter,1974. 
          17. The great
          importance of these statements towards the end of Marx's life is that they show that he
          saw history not as a mechanical continuum of discrete stages through which each society
          must pass, but as a process in which the particularity of each historical situation had an
          important role to play. His position regarding the Russian case illustrates well the
          flexibility of his approach, which was informed by the dialectical unity of subjective and
          objective factors. Stalin (1934, p. 104) would later pervert this approach, stating that
          the Soviet form of dictatorship of the proletariat was 'suitable and obligatory for all
          countries without exception, including those where capitalism is developed', thus
          condemning all countries except the USSR to have no history of their own. 
          18. On Rosa
          Luxemburg see Sweezy, 1942, pp. 124-129; Robinson, 1963; Lichtheim, 1971, pp. 117-125;
          Barrat-Brown, 1974, pp. 50-52; Caputo and Pizarro, 1974, pp. 148-166; Furtado. 1974, pp.
          229-233; Nettl,1975; Bradby,1975, p.86, 
          19. For a
          further discussion, see Caputo and Pizarro, 1974, pp, 135-145; O'Brien, 1975, p, 21. 
          20. Similarly,
          Lukacs stresses, in his preface to the 1967 edition of Geschichte und Klassenbewusstein
          (1923), that his work should be read with an eye to the factional disputes of the time
          at which he wrote it. 
          21. Even less
          could it explain why it was precisely the Social Democratic groups of France, Italy,
          Germany and England who were the first to break the agreements taken in Congress after
          Congress during the Second International to oppose the war on account of its imperialist
          nature. The only ones to stand by those agreements were the Russians, both Bolsheviks and
          Mensheviks, and some minority groups in other countries, such as Luxemburg's followers in
          Germany. The Russian left opposed the granting of war credits in the Duma. Later the
          Mensheviks followed the line of Social Democrats elsewhere, as did some Bolshevik groups.
          Those in Paris enrolled in the French Army, and Plekhanov, the 'father of Russian Marxism'
          and collaborator with Lenin for many years, went so far in their support, according to
          Lenin's widow, Krupskaya, (1930, p. 247) to 'make a farewell speech in their honour'. 
          22. This point
          is emphasized by Lukacs, 1924, p. 75; it is important not to seek in the essay what Lenin
          did not set out to provide, an 'economic theory' of imperialism; in this respect Lenin is
          largely content to follow Hobson, 1902, and Hilferding, 1910. The substantive element of
          his contribution is in the analysis of the effect which economic changes have on the world
          capitalist system in general, and on the class struggle in individual countries in
          particular. Approaches to Lenin's work from different points of view have led to some
          misdirected criticism; for a 
                                                   
          913  | 
          summary of it see Sutcliffe,
          1972b, pp. 370-375. 
          23. I am here
          following Rudenko, 1966, 
          24. For further
          discussions of Lenin's work and its relation to other work on imperialism see Varga and
          Mendelson (eds.), 1939; Kruger, 1955; Kemp, 1967, 1972; L. Shapiro and P. Reddaway, 1967;
          Horowitz, 1969; Pailloix, 1970; Hinkelammert, 1971; Lichtheim, 1971; Barrat-Brown,1972,
          1974 
          25. The
          Narodniks were a group of intellectuals and a series of terrorist group, who were the
          leading Russian revolutionaries during the last three decades of the 19th century,
          reaching their peak in the 1870s. From this group emerged later the 'Social
          Revolutionaries', a party which played an important role in the period from February to
          October 1917, and of which Kerensky was a member. The base of the party was fundamentally
          peasant, although it had some strength in the towns, dominating the first democratic
          municipalities, many soviets, and some sectors of the army. The Narodniks were a complex
          group of 18th century Enlightenment materialists and radicals in the tradition of the
          French Revolution; their theoretical roots were in Marxism, their political practice was
          inspired by anarchism. The first translation of Capital , by a Narodnik, appear as
          early as 1872. 
          26. The peasant
          commune, a system of common land tcnure with periodical redistribution of individual
          allotments, prevailed under serfdom and survived its abolition in 1861 
          27. They went on
          to explain the ambiguity of the class position of the peasant as follows: 'If by a chance
          they are revolutionaries, they are so only in the view of their impending transfer to the
          proletariat; they thus defend not their present, but their future interest; they desert
          their own standpoint to place themselves at that of the proletariat'. 
            28. A
          year later, and only a year before he died, Marx (with Engels) returned to the theme in a
          new preface to the Russian edition of the Communist Manifesto, using similar
          arguments Ten years later , Engels would affirm that if there had ever been a possibility
          of avoiding capitalist development in Russia there was no longer. The Russian commune was
          by then part of the past, and Russia could therefore not escape passage through the stage
          of capitalism. 
          29. Thus for
          example a year before (in february 1898) in the founding Congress of the 'Russian Social
          Democratic Workers' Party' (the first concerted attempt to create a Russian Marxist party
          on Russian soil, and the forerunner of the Russian Communist Party (Bolshevik)), delegates
          stressed that the principol dilemma of the Russian revolution was the incapacity of the
          bourgeoisie to make its own revolution; from that they derived the consequent need to
          extend to the proletariat to leadership in the bourgeois democratic revolution. In this
          contcxt they stated, 'The farther east one goes in Europe, the weaker, meaner  | 
         
       
      
        
          and more cowardly in the political sense
          becomes the bourgeoisie, and the greater the cultural and political tasks which fall to
          the lot of the proletarias' (cited in Carr, 1966, Vol.1, p.15). 
          30. It was only
          some years later that Stalin developed his well-known thesis of 'Socialism in one
          country'. 
          31. Lenin's
          widow herself has testified to the great surprise with which Lenin received the news of
          the February revolution. See Krupskaya, 1930, p. 286. 
          32. For a
          general discussion of the problems of late industrialization see Gerschenkron, 1952; for a
          discusssion of the impact of the expansion of capitalism into backward nations, see Rey,
          1971. 
          33. In 1824 the
          British Chancelor, Lord Canning, made on off-quoted statement: 'Spanish America is free,
          and if we do not badly mismanage our affairs, she is English'. History would prove that
          his optimism was justified. 
          34. It is
          surprising that other lines of Marxist analysis were practically absent in the debate;
          Trotsky's work, for example, was not influential, or at least, not acknowledged as
          influential, despite his important cuntributions, and in particular that of 1930, in which
          he insisted that the specific historical circumstances of individual countries would
          preclude their repeating the path to capitalisl development traced out by the advanced
          nations. 
          35. It should be
          noted that this did not preclude, for example, an alliance with small rural producers. For
          a full account of the whole controversy mentioned briefly here see Suarez, 1967. 
          36. A
          characterization is abstract in the Marxist sense when it is based on partial or
          indeterminate relationships See Lupurini, 1965, and Sassoon, 1965. 
          37. Baran
          enriches the theoretical framework of this line of Marxist thought. See also Baran and
          Sweezy, 1966, and Mandel, 1968. 
          38. Hence, according to Frank, the continual failure of
          attempts, such as those in Latin America in the 1830s, to weaken the metropolis -
          satellite chain. See Frank, 1967, pp.57-66. 
          39. For the
          presentation of dualist analyses, see Lewis, 1954, 1958; Jorgenson, 1961, 1967; Fei and
          Rams, 1964. Other critiques of dualism have come from Griffin, 1969; Laclau, 1969; Novack,
          1970; Singer, 1970; Rweyemamu, 1971; Cole and Saunders, 1972; and Seligson, 1972. The
          thesis that Latin America had been capitalist since colonial times had previously been
          advanced by Bagu, 1949, and Vitale,1966. 
          40. Frank
          himeself has kept his audience up to date with the growing bibliography relating to his
          own 
                                               
          914  | 
          work (Frank, 1972, 1974,
          1977). Here we would only mention a critique commonly made of Frank, of other dependency
          writers, and of Marxists in genera1, regarding the role of ideology in their analysis (see
          for example, Nove, 1974). Marxist analysis, as a genera1 rule, springs simultaneously from
          politica1 and intellectua1 praxis, and therefore only on a logica1 level is it possible to
          make a clear distinction between 'concept' and 'history', and between 'theory' and
          'practice'. From this point of view it is only of formally scholastic interest to claim
          that a concept is generated 'impure', and 'stained' with ideology. This is how any theory
          emerges in the social sciences. As Cardoso (1974, p. 328) states, 'Ideology reflects the
          rea1 inversely and at times perversely'. To criticize Frank and other authors because
          their concepts are 'impregnated' with ideology is only to state the obvious; to criticize
          them because their ideology reflects reality perversely may be an important element of a
          critique of their work. For further ideas relating to this subject see Larrain, 1977. 
          41. Laclau
          (1971) points out that by restricting his ana1ysis to the circulation of capita1 Frank
          fails to rea1ize that integration into the world economy sometimes even strengthens
          pre-capitalist relations of production; it does not follow however that if such relations
          were not capitalist they were feuda1 (Cardoso, 1974b). In my judgement, the frequent use
          of the term 'feuda1' to characterize pre-capitalist relations of production in Latin
          America illustrates the folly of purely theoretica1 analysis. It is precisely the lack of
          concrete analysis which leaves a vacuum, and there is a tendency to fill it with concepts
          developed for other situations. It is time to attempt to analyse the Latin American
          experience in terms of categories derived from its own history, rather than continue to
          squeeze her history into Western European categories. For interesting studies of
          pre-capitalist relations in Latin America see Cardoso, 1960, 1962; Glaucer, 1971;
          Barbosa-Ramirez,1971. 
          42. Frank of
          course also criticized models of economic development such as that of Rostow, which
          claimed that all nations could and should follow the, same path. For a discussion of Frank
          and Rostow, sec Foster-Carter, 1976. 
          43. For an
          ana1ysis of the work of Dos Santos see Fausto, 1971. 
          44. For a
          critique of Marini, see Laclau, 1971, pp. 83-88; Cardoso, 1973, pp. 7-11. See also
          Marini's earlier works (Marini, 1969, 1972.). 
          45. This
          consists, according to Hinkelammert, of two factors: (1) the capacity to import is
          determined by the sale of raw materials to the countries of the developed world, and (2)
          it is impossible to substitute the exporting of raw materials with exports of manufacturcd
          goods. 
          46. See (among
          others) Lebedinsky, 1968; Galeno, 1969; Petras, 1969, 1970; Cecena Cervantes, 1970;  | 
         
       
      
        
          Fernandez, 1970; De La Peña, 1971; Bagchi,
          1972; Cockroft, Frank and Johnson (eds.), 1972, Malave-Mata, 1972; Meeropol, 1972;
          Alschuler, 1973; Muller, 1973. 
          47. Although
          La11 (and later Weisskopf) appears to direct his critique at the whole dependency school,
          it is applicable in fact only to those whom  I classify as attempting to build a
          mechanico- formal theory of dependent underdevelopment. 
          48. We should
          note here that the figures for industrial growth of many less developed countries should
          be regarded with caution. They may be inflated due to monopoly pricing; the industria1
          sector may be so small as tu make its rate of growth appear misleadingly high; the
          repatriation of profits carried by foreign capita1 may be high, and in that case the
          growth rate of industrial production may overstate, in some cases significantly, the
          growth in national income derived from industry. 
          49. This error
          is the reverse of that committed by others, who (as we shall see later) focus upon the
          high point of the cycle and project it as a permanent state of affairs. Both forget that
          the basic permanent features which capitalism has shown are the cyclica1 character of
          capita1 accumulation and the spontaneous tendency toward the concentration of income and
          wealth, particularly when the state does not take measures to avoid this. 
          50. See for
          example the works of Regis D.bray, 1970. 
          51. See Kuhn,
          1962, 1972. 
          52. Among the
          many analysis of the thought of ECLA the best are Hirschman, 1961, 1967, and Cardoso,
          1977. ECLA itself has cuntributed a good synthesis, in ECLA, 1969. 
          53. It is not
          coinciden1 that Prebisch published a study of Keynes before he made his first
          contributions to ECLA. For a short and systematic exposition of Prebisch's main ideas see
          Bacha, 1974; for a full bibliography, see Di Marco (ed.), 1972. 
          54. That is,
          instead of initiating analysis from a perspective such as that of Ilicks (1969, p. 160)
          'if there were no nations ...the absorptian of the whole human race into the ranks of the
          developed world would be relatively simple', Keynesian analysis takes the existence of
          nations as the starting point for economic analysis, not as an obstacle to it (Robinson,
          1970; Knapp, 1973, etc.) For an interesting analysis of the different perspectives of
          neo-classical, Keynesian and Marxist economics, see Barrat-Brown, 1974. 
          55. See
          Hecksher, 1919; Ohlin, 1933; and Samuelson, 1939. For a full account of the theory see
          Bhagwati, 1969. 
          56. A tradition
          inaugurate by Marshall, 1890, and 
           
                                              
          915 | 
          continued by Young, 1928. It
          was later taken up by Scitovsky, 1954; Nurkse, 1955; Rosenstein-rodan, 1957; Myrdal, 1957,
          etc. 
          57. For Di Tell,
          1973, this traditional emphasis upon 'externalities' is no more than an attempt, not
          always conscious, to reconcile two contradictory phenomena - the constant fall in
          industrial production costs and the necessity to work with a rising cost curve at the
          level of the firm - if one wishes to assume the possibility of the existence of perfect
          competition. Di Tella attempts to show that the only way in which both phenomena can be
          reconciled is through the addition of a further element to the analysis: externalities. He
          argues that if one accepts that the cause of decreasing costs lies in internal economies
          of scale, it must follow that the type of competition intrinsic to industrial production
          is oligopolistic, not perfect (p. 26). It would therefore be pointless to attempt to
          reconcile decreasing costs with a scheme of perfect competition 'through a theoretical
          interpretation of external economies, of dubious relevance to the modern world' (p. 27).
          If one accepts Di Tella's argument, one should conclude that the two points on which the
          ECLA critique was based are basically one and the same.  
          58. This is the
          case for example with steel, where heavy investment is called for with no prospect of an
          early return, where the productive process involved and particularly the crucial
          importance of internal economies of scale, practically ensure that the market will be
          dominated if not monopolized by a single producer, and where the strategic role of the
          product as an essential input for a wide range of industrial produccion makes it
          particularly important that a producer should not exploit his monopoly or oligopoly
          position; it was therefore considered an ideal case for state investment. 
          59. Among the
          structural obstacles to which attention was repeatedly drawn from the very beginning of
          the ECLA analyses were archaic patterns of land ownership, the low effective demand due to
          the low level of wages, and rigidities in the tax system which made it difficult to
          increase public revenues. See ECLA, 1949, and Prebisch, 1950. 
          60. One of the
          characteristic elements of the critique of ECLA policies regarding foreign capital is its
          insistence that there is a tendency in Latin America to a net outflow of capital (for
          empirical evidence on this point see Caputo and Pizarro, 1974, and Booth, 1975). This
          criticism is generally correct, but misdirected; for it the effect of foreign capital is
          analysed only from the point of view of capital flow, and supposing that all
          its profits are repatriated, the point is an obvious one. For the net flow of capital to
          be into Latin America, the rate of growth of foreign investment would have to be
          not simply geometrc, but hypergeometric (see Palma, forthcoming). The essential problem is
          to analyse the effect of foreign capital from a perspective which looks beyond capital
          flows and also asks why foreign capital tends to  | 
         
       
      
        
          repatriate profits, and not to reinvest
          them. For a revealing analysis of this point, see Griffin, 1974. 
          61.  In
          other words, if the Cuban revolution provided the basis for the adoption by other sectors
          of the left of the analysis which called for an immediate transition to socialism, it was
          the 'bleak panorama of capitalist development' in the early 1960s which finally brought
          them into that camp. 
          62. For the
          discussion of stagnationist theses, see pp. 37-41; for that regarding  'distorted'
          development, pp. 42-49. 
          63.  And
          thus lacking what was perhaps the most important element  of  the creative and
          original aspects of the first ECLA analyses.  
          64. In the
          meantime, furthermore, ECLA as an institution continued to produce weighty reports, of
          which the most outstanding is that of 1965. 
          65.  For a
          collection and disussion or articles concerning the different aspects of the government of
          Unidad Popular, see Palma (ed.), 1973.  
          66.  For a
          good collection of Gramsci's work (the most original contribution to Marxist thought since
          Lenin) see Gramsci, 1971. 
          67.  For
          attempts to update the theory of imperialism, see Rhodes (ed.), 1970; Owen and Sutcliffe
          (eds.). 1972; Barrat-Brown, 1974; and Radice (ed). 1975. 
          68.  For
          empirical evidence on this point see O'Connor, 1970; Bodenheimer, 1970; Quijano, 1971;
          Fajnzylber, 1971; Cardoso, 1972; Barrat-Brown, 1974; and Warren, 1973. 
          69.  This
          does not mean, as Warren (1973) seems to argue, that it became possible throughout the
          periphery. 
          70. Cardoso has
          always stressed that the fundamental issue (at a logical level) is above all theoretical
          - methodological (see Cardoso, 1974, 1976b, 1977 (with Faletto)). 
          71. For other surveys of
          dependency literature, see Chilcote, 1974 and O'Brien, 1975. For a survey of the
          literature relating to the Caribbean, see Girvan, 1973. 
              I have not attempted in this essay to integrate the growing
          literature related to Africa. For a recent survey article on this subject, see Shaw and
          Grieve, 1977; see also Harris, 1975.  I would just like to mention that from the
          point of view of the subject covered, this literature has placed particular emphasis on
          the analysis of  the way in which political independen- 
           
           
                                                      
          916  | 
          dence has been followed by a
          process of strong economic and social 'dependence' (Amin, 1972; Fanon, 1967; Jorgenson, 1975;
          Okumu. 1971); and how three relationships of dependence have developed in an
          increasingly complex framework (Bretton, 1973; Rotchild and Curry, 1975; Selwyn 1975 b and
          c); and considerable attention has been given to the particular role that the new ruling
          classes have played in it  (Cronje, Ling and Cronje, 1976; Green, 1970; Markovitz,
          1977; Shaw, 1975; Shaw and Newbyry, 1977; Wallerstein, 1973 and 1975; and Zarman, 1976). 
             The possibilities of a capitalist development for the African countries
          are analysed from all points of view (Amin, 1973; Davidson, 1974; Fanon, 1970 a and b;
          Nyerere, 1973; Wallerstein, 1973 and 1974b); and special emphasis has been placed on the
          problem involved in the elaboration of alternative development strategies (Falk, 1972;
          Green, 1975; Ghai, 1972 and 1973; Huntington and Nelson, 1976; Rood, 1975; Schumacher,
          1975; Seidman, 1972; Selwyn, 1975a; Thomas, 1974, 1975 and 1976; Vernon, 1976; Wallerstein
          1971 and 1974b). Finally, for analysis of specific African countries, see Callaway, 1975;
          Cliffe and Saul (eds.), 1972; Godfrey and Langdon, 1976; Green, 1976; Grundy, 1976; Johns,
          1971 and 1975; McHenry, 1976; Pratt, 1975; Rweyemanu, 1973; Sandbrook, 1975; Saul, 1973;
          Seidman, 1974; and Shaw, 1976. 
          72.  It is
          not surprising therefore that the most penetrating analyses of  Brazilian economic
          development are found in dependency analyses already cited, or in those which place the
          post-1967 boom in its historical context. For example, Bacha (1977) shows how the
          aggregate Brazilian economic growth from 1968 to 1974 is not a 'miracle', but conforms
          rather closely to the cyclical growth pattern of the Brazilian economy in the post-war
          period. 
          73.  In
          this context we might recall a comment quoted by Sanyaja Lall in a 1976 essay. The
          comment, from a World Bank/IDS study, is a poignant admission of the fate of many 'fairy
          tale' development strategies: "There are a number of regimes for which the strategy
          proposed in this volume is  'out of court'.  Some are dominated by entrenched
          elites who will relinquish nothing to the underprivileged except under duress of armed
          force. Others have attacked successfully the cause of poverty by means far more direct and
          radical than those discussed here. Yet that still leaves a considerable range of societies
          for which the strategy is at least plausible, even though in some of them the likelihood
          that it will be adopted with any vigour is remote" (quoted in Lall, 1976, p. 192). 
          74.  See
          Cardoso, 1976b. p. 15. 
          75.  See
          Feuerbach Theses, No. 11, in Marx, 1845.  | 
         
       
      
        
                           
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